Orion Digital Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| ORIO Stock | 1.58 0.09 6.04% |
Orion Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Orion Digital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Orion Digital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Orion Digital fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Orion Digital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.23) | Wall Street Target Price 3.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Orion Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orion Digital Corp from the perspective of Orion Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Orion Digital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.09. Orion Digital after-hype prediction price | CAD 1.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Orion |
Orion Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Orion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Orion Digital 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Orion Digital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orion Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Orion Digital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Orion Digital | Orion Digital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Orion Digital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Orion Digital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orion Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.20, respectively. We have considered Orion Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orion Digital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orion Digital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 98.6413 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0162 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0773 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0483 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.095 |
Predictive Modules for Orion Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orion Digital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orion Digital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Orion Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orion Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orion Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Orion Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Orion Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orion Digital's historical news coverage. Orion Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.22, respectively. We have considered Orion Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Orion Digital is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orion Digital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Orion Digital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orion Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orion Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orion Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 3.65 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.58 | 1.58 | 0.00 |
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Orion Digital Hype Timeline
Orion Digital Corp is now traded for 1.58on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Orion is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Orion Digital is about 3650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.57. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orion Digital Corp last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2019. The entity had 1:3 split on the 14th of August 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orion Digital to cross-verify your projections.Orion Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Orion Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orion Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Orion Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orion Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORAC | Oracle CDR | 0.15 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.96 | (5.47) | 15.51 | |
| PLTR | Palantir CDR | 0.28 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.76 | (5.89) | 20.94 | |
| PANW | PALO ALTO NETWORKS | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.24 | (4.60) | 11.54 | |
| ADBE | Adobe Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.11 | (3.78) | 12.62 | |
| CRWD | CrowdStrike Holdings | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.59 | (3.69) | 13.74 | |
| BTQ | BTQ Technologies Corp | (0.11) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 11.55 | (10.04) | 37.14 | |
| ORIO | Orion Digital Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.04 | (6.75) | 16.42 | |
| VERS | VERSES AI | (1.00) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 11.36 | (17.20) | 233.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Orion Digital
For every potential investor in Orion, whether a beginner or expert, Orion Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orion Digital's price trends.Orion Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orion Digital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orion Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orion Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Orion Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orion Digital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orion Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orion Digital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orion Digital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Orion Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Orion Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orion Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Variance | 13.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Orion Digital
The number of cover stories for Orion Digital depends on current market conditions and Orion Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orion Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orion Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Orion Digital Short Properties
Orion Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Orion Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Orion Digital Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Orion Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orion Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orion Digital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.