Orosur Mining Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

OROXF Stock  USD 0.44  0.01  2.33%   
Orosur Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Orosur Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Orosur Mining's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orosur Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Orosur Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Orosur Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orosur Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Orosur Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orosur Mining from the perspective of Orosur Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orosur Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35.

Orosur Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orosur Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Orosur Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orosur price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orosur using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orosur charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Orosur Mining works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Orosur Mining Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orosur Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orosur Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orosur Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orosur Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Orosur Mining  Orosur Mining Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Orosur Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orosur Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orosur Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.94, respectively. We have considered Orosur Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.44
0.45
Expected Value
8.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orosur Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orosur Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0048
MADMean absolute deviation0.0225
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.064
SAESum of the absolute errors1.3488
When Orosur Mining prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Orosur Mining trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Orosur Mining observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Orosur Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orosur Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orosur Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.429.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.338.93
Details

Orosur Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Orosur Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orosur Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Orosur Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Orosur Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Orosur Mining's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orosur Mining's historical news coverage. Orosur Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 9.02, respectively. We have considered Orosur Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.44
0.42
After-hype Price
9.02
Upside
Orosur Mining is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orosur Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Orosur Mining Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orosur Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orosur Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orosur Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.14 
8.50
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.44
0.42
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Orosur Mining Hype Timeline

Orosur Mining is now traded for 0.44. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Orosur is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Orosur Mining is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.44. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of March 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orosur Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Orosur Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Orosur Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orosur Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Orosur Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orosur Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMRGFMinaurum Gold 0.00 0 per month 6.51  0.11  13.51 (9.68) 39.63 
SNGCFSanu Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.56 (5.26) 21.11 
TTTNFTitan Minerals Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.17  9.09 (1.52) 38.55 
AUGGAugusta Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.61 (0.09) 1.67 (0.83) 4.11 
GPACFGeopacific Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  9.38  0.00  52.91 
STRRFSatori Resources 0.00 0 per month 3.20  0.11  10.26 (8.51) 36.44 
VRDRVerde Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 8.43 (11.58) 26.12 
FFOXFFireFox Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 10.34 (9.09) 25.97 
ELRRFEloro Resources 0.00 0 per month 4.16  0.22  12.00 (7.69) 26.60 
CBGZFCabral Gold 0.00 0 per month 2.99  0.11  8.89 (5.13) 19.23 

Other Forecasting Options for Orosur Mining

For every potential investor in Orosur, whether a beginner or expert, Orosur Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orosur Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orosur. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orosur Mining's price trends.

Orosur Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orosur Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orosur Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orosur Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orosur Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orosur Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orosur Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orosur Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Orosur Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orosur Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orosur Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orosur Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orosur pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Orosur Mining

The number of cover stories for Orosur Mining depends on current market conditions and Orosur Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orosur Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orosur Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Orosur Pink Sheet

Orosur Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orosur Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orosur with respect to the benefits of owning Orosur Mining security.