Orsus Xelent Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ORSX Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.000003% |
Orsus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Orsus Xelent's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
Using Orsus Xelent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orsus Xelent Technologies from the perspective of Orsus Xelent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orsus Xelent Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Orsus Xelent after-hype prediction price | USD 0.007 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orsus Xelent to cross-verify your projections. Orsus Xelent Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Orsus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orsus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orsus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Orsus Xelent's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 4.5 K | Current Value 4.3 K | Quarterly Volatility 720.1 K |
Orsus Xelent Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orsus Xelent Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orsus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orsus Xelent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Orsus Xelent Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Orsus Xelent | Orsus Xelent Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Orsus Xelent Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Orsus Xelent's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orsus Xelent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 0.01, respectively. We have considered Orsus Xelent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orsus Xelent stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orsus Xelent stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 69.894 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Orsus Xelent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orsus Xelent Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orsus Xelent's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orsus Xelent After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Orsus Xelent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orsus Xelent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orsus Xelent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Orsus Xelent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Orsus Xelent's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orsus Xelent's historical news coverage. Orsus Xelent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 0.01, respectively. We have considered Orsus Xelent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Orsus Xelent is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orsus Xelent Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Orsus Xelent Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orsus Xelent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orsus Xelent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orsus Xelent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
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Orsus Xelent Hype Timeline
Orsus Xelent Technologies is now traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Orsus is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Orsus Xelent is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.0. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orsus Xelent Technologies recorded a loss per share of 2.4. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:12 split on the 28th of April 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orsus Xelent to cross-verify your projections.Orsus Xelent Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Orsus Xelent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orsus Xelent's future price movements. Getting to know how Orsus Xelent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orsus Xelent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FBCE | FiberCore | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UTRK | Universal Tracking Solutions | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCTN | Schimatic Cash Transactions | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MBLMF | Mobilum Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCNTQ | Scient Inc | 0.00 | 17 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ETCIA | Electronic Tele Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.00 | |
| CKYS | CyberKey Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DSGT | DSG Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 6.00 | 0.00 | 3,015 | |
| EGIL | EdgeTech International | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IPTK | AS IP Tech | 0.35 | 12 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Orsus Xelent
For every potential investor in Orsus, whether a beginner or expert, Orsus Xelent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orsus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orsus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orsus Xelent's price trends.Orsus Xelent Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orsus Xelent stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orsus Xelent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orsus Xelent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Orsus Xelent Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orsus Xelent stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orsus Xelent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orsus Xelent stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orsus Xelent Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Orsus Xelent
The number of cover stories for Orsus Xelent depends on current market conditions and Orsus Xelent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orsus Xelent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orsus Xelent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Orsus Stock Analysis
When running Orsus Xelent's price analysis, check to measure Orsus Xelent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orsus Xelent is operating at the current time. Most of Orsus Xelent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orsus Xelent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orsus Xelent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orsus Xelent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.