Oppenheimer Strat Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

OSINX Fund  USD 3.29  0.01  0.30%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Oppenheimer Strat Incm on the next trading day is expected to be 3.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55. Oppenheimer Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Oppenheimer Strat's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Oppenheimer Strat's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oppenheimer Strat Incm, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Oppenheimer Strat hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oppenheimer Strat Incm from the perspective of Oppenheimer Strat response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Oppenheimer Strat Incm on the next trading day is expected to be 3.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55.

Oppenheimer Strat after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oppenheimer Strat to cross-verify your projections.

Oppenheimer Strat Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oppenheimer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oppenheimer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oppenheimer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Oppenheimer Strat price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Oppenheimer Strat Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Oppenheimer Strat Incm on the next trading day is expected to be 3.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oppenheimer Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oppenheimer Strat's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oppenheimer Strat Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Oppenheimer StratOppenheimer Strat Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Oppenheimer Strat Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oppenheimer Strat's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oppenheimer Strat's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.03 and 3.56, respectively. We have considered Oppenheimer Strat's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.29
3.30
Expected Value
3.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oppenheimer Strat mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oppenheimer Strat mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8828
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0088
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0027
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5483
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Oppenheimer Strat Incm historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Oppenheimer Strat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenheimer Strat Incm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.033.293.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.763.023.62
Details

Oppenheimer Strat After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oppenheimer Strat at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oppenheimer Strat or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Oppenheimer Strat, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oppenheimer Strat Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oppenheimer Strat's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oppenheimer Strat's historical news coverage. Oppenheimer Strat's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.03 and 3.55, respectively. We have considered Oppenheimer Strat's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.29
3.29
After-hype Price
3.55
Upside
Oppenheimer Strat is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oppenheimer Strat Incm is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oppenheimer Strat Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Oppenheimer Strat is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oppenheimer Strat backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oppenheimer Strat, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.26
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.29
3.29
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Oppenheimer Strat Hype Timeline

Oppenheimer Strat Incm is now traded for 3.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Oppenheimer is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oppenheimer Strat is about 910.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.29. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.1. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oppenheimer Strat to cross-verify your projections.

Oppenheimer Strat Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oppenheimer Strat's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oppenheimer Strat's future price movements. Getting to know how Oppenheimer Strat's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oppenheimer Strat may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Oppenheimer Strat

For every potential investor in Oppenheimer, whether a beginner or expert, Oppenheimer Strat's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oppenheimer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oppenheimer Strat's price trends.

Oppenheimer Strat Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oppenheimer Strat mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oppenheimer Strat could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oppenheimer Strat by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oppenheimer Strat Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oppenheimer Strat mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oppenheimer Strat shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oppenheimer Strat mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Oppenheimer Strat Incm entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oppenheimer Strat Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oppenheimer Strat's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oppenheimer Strat's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oppenheimer mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Oppenheimer Strat

The number of cover stories for Oppenheimer Strat depends on current market conditions and Oppenheimer Strat's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oppenheimer Strat is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oppenheimer Strat's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Oppenheimer Mutual Fund

Oppenheimer Strat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oppenheimer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oppenheimer with respect to the benefits of owning Oppenheimer Strat security.
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