Otter Tail Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

OT4 Stock  EUR 70.50  2.00  2.76%   
Otter Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Otter Tail's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Otter Tail's share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Otter Tail, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Otter Tail's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Otter Tail and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Otter Tail's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Otter Tail Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Otter Tail's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.016
Using Otter Tail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Otter Tail Corp from the perspective of Otter Tail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Otter Tail Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 73.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.34.

Otter Tail after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 70.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Otter Tail to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Otter Stock please use our How to Invest in Otter Tail guide.

Otter Tail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Otter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Otter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Otter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Otter Tail price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Otter Tail Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Otter Tail Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 73.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15, mean absolute percentage error of 2.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Otter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Otter Tail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Otter Tail Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Otter Tail  Otter Tail Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Otter Tail Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Otter Tail's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Otter Tail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.61 and 74.43, respectively. We have considered Otter Tail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
70.50
73.02
Expected Value
74.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Otter Tail stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Otter Tail stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7572
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1506
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0162
SAESum of the absolute errors71.3384
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Otter Tail Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Otter Tail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otter Tail Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.0770.4871.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.6865.0977.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.4271.9974.15
Details

Otter Tail After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Otter Tail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Otter Tail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Otter Tail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Otter Tail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Otter Tail's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Otter Tail's historical news coverage. Otter Tail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.07 and 71.89, respectively. We have considered Otter Tail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
70.50
70.48
After-hype Price
71.89
Upside
Otter Tail is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Otter Tail Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Otter Tail Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Otter Tail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Otter Tail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Otter Tail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.41
  0.02 
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.50
70.48
0.03 
282.00  
Notes

Otter Tail Hype Timeline

Otter Tail Corp is now traded for 70.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Otter is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 70.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Otter Tail is about 244.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.53. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Otter Tail Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.6. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.59. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Otter Tail to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Otter Stock please use our How to Invest in Otter Tail guide.

Otter Tail Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Otter Tail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Otter Tail's future price movements. Getting to know how Otter Tail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Otter Tail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IOC0ITOCHU 0.20 4 per month 1.82  0.08  3.77 (2.91) 10.31 
ALDHoneywell International 2.68 8 per month 0.88  0.18  1.98 (2.04) 6.09 
HIA1Hitachi 0.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.75 (4.65) 14.16 
MBIMitsubishi(0.07)7 per month 1.40  0.19  4.49 (2.66) 9.34 
IOCITOCHU(0.01)6 per month 1.69  0.09  3.14 (2.45) 13.55 
MARAMarubeni 0.17 7 per month 2.06  0.18  5.55 (3.92) 12.60 
SUMASumitomo 1.03 8 per month 2.32  0.15  5.46 (3.45) 12.11 
SUMBSUMITOMO P SP 1.20 6 per month 1.76  0.17  3.95 (3.33) 10.08 
CPF0CITIC LTD ADR5 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.34 (3.01) 6.13 

Other Forecasting Options for Otter Tail

For every potential investor in Otter, whether a beginner or expert, Otter Tail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Otter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Otter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Otter Tail's price trends.

Otter Tail Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Otter Tail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Otter Tail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Otter Tail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Otter Tail Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Otter Tail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Otter Tail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Otter Tail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Otter Tail Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Otter Tail Risk Indicators

The analysis of Otter Tail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Otter Tail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting otter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Otter Tail

The number of cover stories for Otter Tail depends on current market conditions and Otter Tail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Otter Tail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Otter Tail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Otter Stock

Otter Tail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Otter Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Otter with respect to the benefits of owning Otter Tail security.