Otc Markets OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

OTCM Stock  USD 53.57  0.07  0.13%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Otc Markets Group on the next trading day is expected to be 51.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.29. Otc OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Otc Markets price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Otc Markets Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Otc Markets Group on the next trading day is expected to be 51.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91, mean absolute percentage error of 1.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Otc OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Otc Markets' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Otc Markets OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Otc MarketsOtc Markets Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Otc Markets Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Otc Markets' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Otc Markets' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.59 and 53.29, respectively. We have considered Otc Markets' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
53.57
51.44
Expected Value
53.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Otc Markets otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Otc Markets otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4296
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9064
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors55.2889
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Otc Markets Group historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Otc Markets

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otc Markets Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Otc Markets' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.7253.5755.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.4443.2958.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.5850.8754.17
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Otc Markets

For every potential investor in Otc, whether a beginner or expert, Otc Markets' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Otc OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Otc. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Otc Markets' price trends.

Otc Markets Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Otc Markets otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Otc Markets could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Otc Markets by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Otc Markets Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Otc Markets' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Otc Markets' current price.

Otc Markets Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Otc Markets otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Otc Markets shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Otc Markets otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Otc Markets Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Otc Markets Risk Indicators

The analysis of Otc Markets' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Otc Markets' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting otc otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Otc OTC Stock

Otc Markets financial ratios help investors to determine whether Otc OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Otc with respect to the benefits of owning Otc Markets security.