CD Projekt Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

OTGLF Stock  USD 35.03  9.97  22.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CD Projekt SA on the next trading day is expected to be 35.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.97. OTGLF Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CD Projekt's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
CD Projekt simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for CD Projekt SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as CD Projekt SA prices get older.

CD Projekt Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CD Projekt SA on the next trading day is expected to be 35.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 1.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OTGLF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CD Projekt's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CD Projekt Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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CD Projekt Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CD Projekt's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CD Projekt's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.24 and 37.82, respectively. We have considered CD Projekt's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.03
35.03
Expected Value
37.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CD Projekt pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CD Projekt pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7774
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1662
MADMean absolute deviation0.1662
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0047
SAESum of the absolute errors9.97
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting CD Projekt SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent CD Projekt observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CD Projekt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CD Projekt SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.2635.0337.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6629.4338.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.0240.8550.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CD Projekt

For every potential investor in OTGLF, whether a beginner or expert, CD Projekt's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OTGLF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OTGLF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CD Projekt's price trends.

CD Projekt Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CD Projekt pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CD Projekt could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CD Projekt by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CD Projekt SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CD Projekt's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CD Projekt's current price.

CD Projekt Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CD Projekt pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CD Projekt shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CD Projekt pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CD Projekt SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CD Projekt Risk Indicators

The analysis of CD Projekt's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CD Projekt's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting otglf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in OTGLF Pink Sheet

CD Projekt financial ratios help investors to determine whether OTGLF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OTGLF with respect to the benefits of owning CD Projekt security.