Bank Ozk Preferred Stock Forward View

OZKAP Preferred Stock  USD 16.80  0.08  0.47%   
Bank Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Bank Ozk's share price is at 50. This indicates that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank Ozk, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bank Ozk's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank Ozk Preferred, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bank Ozk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Ozk Preferred from the perspective of Bank Ozk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank Ozk Preferred on the next trading day is expected to be 17.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.75.

Bank Ozk after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Ozk to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Bank Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bank Ozk guide.

Bank Ozk Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Bank Ozk is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bank Ozk Preferred value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bank Ozk Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank Ozk Preferred on the next trading day is expected to be 17.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank Ozk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank Ozk Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bank Ozk  Bank Ozk Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Bank Ozk Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank Ozk's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank Ozk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.40 and 17.92, respectively. We have considered Bank Ozk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.80
17.16
Expected Value
17.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank Ozk preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank Ozk preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7276
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0928
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0057
SAESum of the absolute errors5.7535
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bank Ozk Preferred. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bank Ozk. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bank Ozk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Ozk Preferred. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0416.8017.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4615.2218.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.5616.6919.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Ozk. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Ozk's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Ozk's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Ozk Preferred.

Bank Ozk After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank Ozk at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Ozk or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Bank Ozk, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank Ozk Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank Ozk's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Ozk's historical news coverage. Bank Ozk's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.04 and 17.56, respectively. We have considered Bank Ozk's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.80
16.80
After-hype Price
17.56
Upside
Bank Ozk is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Ozk Preferred is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank Ozk Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Ozk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Ozk backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Ozk, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.76
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.80
16.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Bank Ozk Hype Timeline

Bank Ozk Preferred is now traded for 16.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Bank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank Ozk is about 179.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.83. About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Ozk to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Bank Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bank Ozk guide.

Bank Ozk Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Ozk's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Ozk's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Ozk's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Ozk may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Bank Ozk

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank Ozk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank Ozk's price trends.

Bank Ozk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank Ozk preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank Ozk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank Ozk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank Ozk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank Ozk preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank Ozk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank Ozk preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank Ozk Preferred entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank Ozk Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank Ozk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank Ozk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bank Ozk

The number of cover stories for Bank Ozk depends on current market conditions and Bank Ozk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Ozk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Ozk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bank Ozk Short Properties

Bank Ozk's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Ozk's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Ozk Preferred often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Ozk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Ozk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.4 M
Dividends Paid146.5 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.16
Shares Float109.8 M

Additional Tools for Bank Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Bank Ozk's price analysis, check to measure Bank Ozk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Ozk is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Ozk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Ozk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Ozk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Ozk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.