Parkson Retail Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| P5IB Stock | EUR 0.01 0.0005 5.88% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parkson Retail Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. Parkson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Parkson Retail's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Parkson |
Parkson Retail Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parkson Retail Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000306, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Parkson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Parkson Retail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Parkson Retail Stock Forecast Pattern
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Parkson Retail Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Parkson Retail's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Parkson Retail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00009 and 15.68, respectively. We have considered Parkson Retail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Parkson Retail stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Parkson Retail stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.5752 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0583 |
Predictive Modules for Parkson Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parkson Retail Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Parkson Retail
For every potential investor in Parkson, whether a beginner or expert, Parkson Retail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Parkson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Parkson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Parkson Retail's price trends.Parkson Retail Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Parkson Retail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Parkson Retail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Parkson Retail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Parkson Retail Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Parkson Retail's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Parkson Retail's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Parkson Retail Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Parkson Retail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Parkson Retail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Parkson Retail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Parkson Retail Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.009 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.009 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.5 |
Parkson Retail Risk Indicators
The analysis of Parkson Retail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Parkson Retail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting parkson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 11.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 15.72 | |||
| Variance | 247.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 252.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 141.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (14.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Parkson Stock
Parkson Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Parkson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Parkson with respect to the benefits of owning Parkson Retail security.