Peace Arch Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PAEGF Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Peace Arch Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Peace Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Peace Arch's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, Peace Arch's Receivables Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Peace Arch's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.73, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 8.70. . The Peace Arch's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (5.2 M).

Peace Arch Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Peace Arch's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-02-29
Previous Quarter
M
Current Value
1.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.5 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Peace Arch is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Peace Arch Entertainment value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Peace Arch Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Peace Arch Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peace Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peace Arch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Peace Arch Stock Forecast Pattern

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Peace Arch Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Peace Arch's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peace Arch's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 0, respectively. We have considered Peace Arch's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peace Arch stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peace Arch stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria35.4555
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Peace Arch Entertainment. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Peace Arch. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Peace Arch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peace Arch Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00080.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Peace Arch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Peace Arch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Peace Arch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Peace Arch Entertainment.

Other Forecasting Options for Peace Arch

For every potential investor in Peace, whether a beginner or expert, Peace Arch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peace Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peace. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peace Arch's price trends.

Peace Arch Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peace Arch stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peace Arch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peace Arch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Peace Arch Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Peace Arch's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Peace Arch's current price.

Peace Arch Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peace Arch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peace Arch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peace Arch stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peace Arch Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Peace Arch Entertainment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Peace Arch's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Peace Arch's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Peace Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peace Arch to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peace Arch. If investors know Peace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Peace Arch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
1.516
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.256
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.52)
The market value of Peace Arch Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Peace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Peace Arch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Peace Arch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Peace Arch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Peace Arch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Peace Arch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peace Arch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peace Arch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.