Peace Arch Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PAEGF Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
Peace Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Peace Arch's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of Peace Arch's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Peace Arch's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Peace Arch and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Peace Arch's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Peace Arch Entertainment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Peace Arch's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
4
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.256
Using Peace Arch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peace Arch Entertainment from the perspective of Peace Arch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Peace Arch Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Peace Arch after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.001  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peace Arch to cross-verify your projections.

Peace Arch Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Peace price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peace using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peace charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Peace Arch Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Peace Arch's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-02-29
Previous Quarter
M
Current Value
1.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.5 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Peace Arch is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Peace Arch Entertainment value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Peace Arch Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Peace Arch Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peace Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peace Arch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Peace Arch Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Peace Arch  Peace Arch Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Peace Arch Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Peace Arch's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peace Arch's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 0, respectively. We have considered Peace Arch's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peace Arch stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peace Arch stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria35.4555
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Peace Arch Entertainment. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Peace Arch. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Peace Arch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peace Arch Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00080.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Peace Arch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Peace Arch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Peace Arch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Peace Arch Entertainment.

Peace Arch After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Peace Arch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peace Arch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peace Arch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Peace Arch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Peace Arch's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peace Arch's historical news coverage. Peace Arch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Peace Arch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Peace Arch is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peace Arch Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Peace Arch Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peace Arch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peace Arch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peace Arch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Peace Arch Hype Timeline

Peace Arch Entertainment is at this time traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Peace is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Peace Arch is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Peace Arch Entertainment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peace Arch to cross-verify your projections.

Peace Arch Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Peace Arch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peace Arch's future price movements. Getting to know how Peace Arch's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peace Arch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RGGIResgreen Group International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PKLBFPerk Labs 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  100.00 
GMGTGaming Technologies Common 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  200.00 
SEIISharing Economy International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HOILFHunter Technology Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MZPSAmerican Environmental 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MCZAFMad Catz Interactive 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
STTTFSplitit Payments 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MVLAMovella Holdings(0.0002)2 per month 22.89  0.19  150.00 (66.67) 991.30 
YIPIYippy Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  0.00  0.00  33.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Peace Arch

For every potential investor in Peace, whether a beginner or expert, Peace Arch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peace Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peace. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peace Arch's price trends.

Peace Arch Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peace Arch stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peace Arch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peace Arch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Peace Arch Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peace Arch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peace Arch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peace Arch stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peace Arch Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Peace Arch

The number of cover stories for Peace Arch depends on current market conditions and Peace Arch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peace Arch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peace Arch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Peace Arch Entertainment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Peace Arch's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Peace Arch's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Peace Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peace Arch to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peace Arch. If investors know Peace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Peace Arch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
1.516
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.256
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.52)
The market value of Peace Arch Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Peace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Peace Arch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Peace Arch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Peace Arch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Peace Arch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Peace Arch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peace Arch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peace Arch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.