Pan African OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| PAFRY Stock | USD 36.02 1.90 5.57% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pan African Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 35.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.57. Pan OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Pan African's share price is below 20 indicating that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pan African based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Pan African hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pan African Resources from the perspective of Pan African response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pan African Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 35.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.57. Pan African after-hype prediction price | USD 36.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pan |
Pan African Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pan African Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pan African Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 35.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40, mean absolute percentage error of 3.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pan OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pan African's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pan African OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pan African | Pan African Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pan African Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pan African's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pan African's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.48 and 39.56, respectively. We have considered Pan African's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pan African otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pan African otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.0479 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3962 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0504 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.5664 |
Predictive Modules for Pan African
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan African Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pan African After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pan African at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pan African or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Pan African, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pan African Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pan African's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pan African's historical news coverage. Pan African's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.53 and 40.61, respectively. We have considered Pan African's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pan African is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pan African Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pan African OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Pan African is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pan African backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pan African, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.82 | 4.54 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.02 | 36.07 | 0.14 |
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Pan African Hype Timeline
Pan African Resources is at this time traded for 36.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Pan is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.82%. The volatility of related hype on Pan African is about 19739.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.04. The company reported the revenue of 376.37 M. Net Income was 75.14 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 147.83 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pan African to cross-verify your projections.Pan African Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pan African's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pan African's future price movements. Getting to know how Pan African's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pan African may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FFOXF | FireFox Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.40 | 0.02 | 10.34 | (8.89) | 25.40 | |
| VRDR | Verde Resources | 0.05 | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.43 | (9.44) | 25.38 | |
| CBGZF | Cabral Gold | 0.06 | 4 per month | 3.11 | 0.11 | 8.89 | (5.13) | 18.55 | |
| AUGG | Augusta Gold Corp | 0.06 | 20 per month | 0.61 | (0.11) | 1.67 | (0.83) | 4.11 | |
| BSXGF | Belo Sun Mining | 0.06 | 4 per month | 5.12 | 0.18 | 14.71 | (8.33) | 43.08 | |
| XTGRF | Xtra Gold Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.53 | 0.03 | 3.57 | (4.37) | 15.39 | |
| MJGCF | Majestic Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.27 | 0.03 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 23.81 | |
| AIRRF | Aurion Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.19 | 0.16 | 6.48 | (5.50) | 19.76 | |
| GGGOF | Galane Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.08 | 0.11 | 10.44 | (7.50) | 24.07 | |
| SMAGF | Soma Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.40 | 0.16 | 9.90 | (7.53) | 30.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pan African
For every potential investor in Pan, whether a beginner or expert, Pan African's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pan OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pan African's price trends.Pan African Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pan African otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pan African could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pan African by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pan African Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pan African otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pan African shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pan African otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pan African Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pan African Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pan African's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pan African's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pan otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Variance | 19.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pan African
The number of cover stories for Pan African depends on current market conditions and Pan African's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pan African is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pan African's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Pan OTC Stock Analysis
When running Pan African's price analysis, check to measure Pan African's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan African is operating at the current time. Most of Pan African's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan African's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan African's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan African to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.