Aesthetic Medical Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PAIYY Stock | 0.06 0.00 0.00% |
Aesthetic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Aesthetic Medical's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Aesthetic Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aesthetic Medical International from the perspective of Aesthetic Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aesthetic Medical International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.89. Aesthetic Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 0.081 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aesthetic | Build AI portfolio with Aesthetic Stock |
Aesthetic Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aesthetic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aesthetic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aesthetic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aesthetic Medical Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aesthetic Medical International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aesthetic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aesthetic Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aesthetic Medical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aesthetic Medical | Aesthetic Medical Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Aesthetic Medical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aesthetic Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aesthetic Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 26.36, respectively. We have considered Aesthetic Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aesthetic Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aesthetic Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.4482 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0011 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0145 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1306 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.886 |
Predictive Modules for Aesthetic Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aesthetic Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aesthetic Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aesthetic Medical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aesthetic Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aesthetic Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aesthetic Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aesthetic Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aesthetic Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aesthetic Medical's historical news coverage. Aesthetic Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 26.40, respectively. We have considered Aesthetic Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aesthetic Medical is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aesthetic Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aesthetic Medical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aesthetic Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aesthetic Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aesthetic Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.94 | 26.30 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.06 | 0.08 | 34.97 |
|
Aesthetic Medical Hype Timeline
Aesthetic Medical is at this time traded for 0.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Aesthetic is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.081 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 34.97%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.94%. The volatility of related hype on Aesthetic Medical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. Aesthetic Medical International has accumulated 179.3 M in total debt. Note, when we think about Aesthetic Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aesthetic Medical to cross-verify your projections.Aesthetic Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aesthetic Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aesthetic Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Aesthetic Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aesthetic Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECIA | Encision | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.53 | 0.07 | 26.67 | (20.00) | 111.05 | |
| BNVIF | Binovi Technologies Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 844.44 | |
| PLLWF | Polarean Imaging plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 644.63 | |
| RQHTF | Reliq Health Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NRPR | Nutri Pharmaceuticals Research | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 129.28 | |
| RDDTF | Radient Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZLDAF | Zelira Therapeutics Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.56 | |
| PKTX | Protokinetix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.98 | 0.04 | 27.45 | (22.22) | 88.90 | |
| RHEP | Regional Health Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.07 | 0.03 | 9.49 | (8.76) | 30.85 | |
| LVVV | Livewire Ergogenics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.31 | 0.04 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 91.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aesthetic Medical
For every potential investor in Aesthetic, whether a beginner or expert, Aesthetic Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aesthetic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aesthetic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aesthetic Medical's price trends.Aesthetic Medical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aesthetic Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aesthetic Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aesthetic Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aesthetic Medical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aesthetic Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aesthetic Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aesthetic Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aesthetic Medical International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aesthetic Medical Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aesthetic Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aesthetic Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aesthetic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 11.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 25.48 | |||
| Variance | 649.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1441.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 230.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (44.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aesthetic Medical
The number of cover stories for Aesthetic Medical depends on current market conditions and Aesthetic Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aesthetic Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aesthetic Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Aesthetic Medical Short Properties
Aesthetic Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aesthetic Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aesthetic Medical International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aesthetic Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aesthetic Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.8 M |
Additional Tools for Aesthetic Stock Analysis
When running Aesthetic Medical's price analysis, check to measure Aesthetic Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aesthetic Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Aesthetic Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aesthetic Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aesthetic Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aesthetic Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.