Proficient Auto Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PAL Stock | 10.45 0.28 2.75% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Proficient Auto Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 10.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.21. Proficient Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Proficient Auto's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Proficient Auto's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Proficient Auto fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of Proficient Auto's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2325 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.525 | Wall Street Target Price 12.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0725 |
Using Proficient Auto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Proficient Auto Logistics from the perspective of Proficient Auto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Proficient Auto using Proficient Auto's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Proficient using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Proficient Auto's stock price.
Proficient Auto Short Interest
An investor who is long Proficient Auto may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Proficient Auto and may potentially protect profits, hedge Proficient Auto with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.8213 | Short Percent 0.0574 | Short Ratio 7.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 9.141 |
Proficient Auto Logistics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Proficient Auto's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Proficient. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Proficient can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Proficient Auto Logistics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Proficient Auto Implied Volatility | 1.19 |
Proficient Auto's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Proficient Auto Logistics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Proficient Auto's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Proficient Auto stock will not fluctuate a lot when Proficient Auto's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Proficient Auto Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 10.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.21. Proficient Auto after-hype prediction price | USD 10.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Proficient | Build AI portfolio with Proficient Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Proficient contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Proficient Auto Logistics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0744% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Proficient Auto trading at USD 10.45, that is roughly USD 0.007772 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Proficient Auto's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Proficient Auto Logistics options at the current volatility level of 1.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Proficient Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Proficient Auto's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Proficient Auto's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Proficient Auto stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Proficient Auto's open interest, investors have to compare it to Proficient Auto's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Proficient Auto is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Proficient. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Proficient Auto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Proficient price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Proficient using various technical indicators. When you analyze Proficient charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Proficient Auto Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Proficient Auto Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 10.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Proficient Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Proficient Auto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Proficient Auto Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Proficient Auto | Proficient Auto Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Proficient Auto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Proficient Auto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Proficient Auto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.34 and 15.56, respectively. We have considered Proficient Auto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Proficient Auto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Proficient Auto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.679 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0936 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2747 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0324 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.21 |
Predictive Modules for Proficient Auto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Proficient Auto Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Proficient Auto After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Proficient Auto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Proficient Auto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Proficient Auto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Proficient Auto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Proficient Auto's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Proficient Auto's historical news coverage. Proficient Auto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.10 and 15.38, respectively. We have considered Proficient Auto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Proficient Auto is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Proficient Auto Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Proficient Auto Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Proficient Auto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Proficient Auto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Proficient Auto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.85 | 5.11 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.45 | 10.24 | 2.01 |
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Proficient Auto Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Proficient Auto Logistics is traded for 10.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Proficient is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.85%. The volatility of related hype on Proficient Auto is about 2468.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.27. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Proficient Auto Logistics has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.62. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.1. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Proficient Auto had 1:4 split on the December 19, 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Proficient Auto to cross-verify your projections.Proficient Auto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Proficient Auto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Proficient Auto's future price movements. Getting to know how Proficient Auto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Proficient Auto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRGO | Freightos Limited Ordinary | (0.27) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.47 | (7.69) | 32.29 | |
| PAMT | PAMT P | 0.08 | 5 per month | 3.31 | (0.02) | 6.06 | (6.15) | 17.24 | |
| GENC | Gencor Industries | (0.27) | 4 per month | 1.97 | (0.03) | 4.78 | (3.95) | 10.79 | |
| SPCE | Virgin Galactic Holdings | (0.25) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.71 | (7.11) | 27.80 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | (0.27) | 25 per month | 3.47 | (0) | 6.44 | (4.75) | 15.40 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | (0.27) | 14 per month | 2.09 | 0.12 | 6.51 | (3.57) | 13.41 | |
| NVX | Novonix Ltd ADR | (0.27) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.92 | (10.43) | 33.61 | |
| ZONE | CleanCore Solutions | (0.27) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 13.04 | (12.77) | 49.93 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | (0.01) | 18 per month | 2.90 | 0.08 | 5.11 | (5.20) | 15.18 | |
| POWW | Ammo Inc | (0.27) | 10 per month | 2.94 | 0.06 | 5.59 | (4.71) | 14.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Proficient Auto
For every potential investor in Proficient, whether a beginner or expert, Proficient Auto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Proficient Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Proficient. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Proficient Auto's price trends.Proficient Auto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Proficient Auto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Proficient Auto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Proficient Auto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Proficient Auto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Proficient Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Proficient Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Proficient Auto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Proficient Auto Logistics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Proficient Auto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Proficient Auto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Proficient Auto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting proficient stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.09 | |||
| Variance | 25.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Proficient Auto
The number of cover stories for Proficient Auto depends on current market conditions and Proficient Auto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Proficient Auto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Proficient Auto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Proficient Auto Short Properties
Proficient Auto's future price predictability will typically decrease when Proficient Auto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Proficient Auto Logistics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Proficient Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Proficient Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Proficient Auto to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Proficient Auto. If investors know Proficient will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Proficient Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.10) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.249 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Proficient Auto Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Proficient that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Proficient Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Proficient Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Proficient Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Proficient Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Proficient Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Proficient Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Proficient Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.