Panther Metals Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PALM Stock   122.50  2.50  2.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Panther Metals PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 128.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 257.30. Panther Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Panther Metals' Total Current Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Common Stock is likely to gain to about 7.6 M in 2024, whereas Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 1.1 M in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Panther Metals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Panther Metals PLC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Panther Metals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Panther Metals PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 128.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.22, mean absolute percentage error of 27.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 257.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Panther Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Panther Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Panther Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Panther Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Panther Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Panther Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.92 and 132.99, respectively. We have considered Panther Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
122.50
123.92
Downside
128.46
Expected Value
132.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Panther Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Panther Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.4316
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.2181
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0434
SAESum of the absolute errors257.302
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Panther Metals PLC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Panther Metals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Panther Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panther Metals PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
118.82123.35127.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.5793.10134.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Panther Metals

For every potential investor in Panther, whether a beginner or expert, Panther Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Panther Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Panther. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Panther Metals' price trends.

Panther Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Panther Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Panther Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Panther Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Panther Metals PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Panther Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Panther Metals' current price.

Panther Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Panther Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Panther Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Panther Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Panther Metals PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Panther Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Panther Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Panther Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting panther stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Panther Stock Analysis

When running Panther Metals' price analysis, check to measure Panther Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Panther Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Panther Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Panther Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Panther Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Panther Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.