Poniard Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

PARD Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Poniard Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Poniard Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Poniard Pharmaceuticals stock prices and determine the direction of Poniard Pharmaceuticals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Poniard Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Poniard Pharmaceuticals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Poniard Pharmaceuticals value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Poniard Pharmaceuticals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Poniard Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Poniard Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Poniard Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Poniard Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Poniard Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Poniard Pharmaceuticals' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Poniard Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Poniard Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Poniard Pharmaceuticals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Poniard Pharmaceuticals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Poniard Pharmaceuticals. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Poniard Pharmaceuticals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Poniard Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Poniard Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Poniard Pharmaceuticals

For every potential investor in Poniard, whether a beginner or expert, Poniard Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Poniard Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Poniard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Poniard Pharmaceuticals' price trends.

Poniard Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Poniard Pharmaceuticals pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Poniard Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Poniard Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Poniard Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Poniard Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Poniard Pharmaceuticals' current price.

Poniard Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Poniard Pharmaceuticals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Poniard Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Poniard Pharmaceuticals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Poniard Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Poniard Pink Sheet

Poniard Pharmaceuticals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Poniard Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Poniard with respect to the benefits of owning Poniard Pharmaceuticals security.