Patria Logistica Fund Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Patria Logistica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Patria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Patria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Patria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Patria Logistica - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Patria Logistica prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Patria Logistica price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Patria Logistica Fundo.

Patria Logistica Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Patria Logistica Fundo on the next trading day is expected to be 66.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.99.

Patria Logistica Fund Forecast Pattern

Patria Logistica Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Patria Logistica fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Patria Logistica fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Patria Logistica observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Patria Logistica Fundo observations.

Predictive Modules for Patria Logistica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Patria Logistica Fundo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 65.57 66.60 67.63 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 59.94 71.58 72.61 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 61.75 66.68 66.92 Details

Patria Logistica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Patria Logistica Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Patria Logistica Hype Timeline

Patria Logistica Fundo is at this time traded for 66.60on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Patria is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Patria Logistica is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.60. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out fundamental analysis of Patria Logistica to check your projections.

Patria Logistica Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Patria Logistica

For every potential investor in Patria, whether a beginner or expert, Patria Logistica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Patria Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Patria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Patria Logistica's price trends.

Patria Logistica Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Patria Logistica Market Strength Events

Patria Logistica Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Patria Logistica

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Patria Fund