Patria Investments Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

PAX Stock  USD 14.61  0.06  0.41%   
Patria Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Patria Investments' share price is approaching 36 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Patria Investments, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Patria Investments' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Patria Investments, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Patria Investments' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
45.345
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4671
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2214
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.504
Wall Street Target Price
17.4286
Using Patria Investments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Patria Investments from the perspective of Patria Investments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Patria Investments using Patria Investments' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Patria using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Patria Investments' stock price.

Patria Investments Short Interest

An investor who is long Patria Investments may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Patria Investments and may potentially protect profits, hedge Patria Investments with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
14.1294
Short Percent
0.091
Short Ratio
9.94
Shares Short Prior Month
4.6 M
50 Day MA
15.9306

Patria Relative Strength Index

Patria Investments Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Patria Investments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Patria. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Patria can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Patria Investments. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Patria Investments' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Patria Investments.

Patria Investments Implied Volatility

    
  0.85  
Patria Investments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Patria Investments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Patria Investments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Patria Investments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Patria Investments' options are near their expiration.

Patria Investments after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Patria Investments to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Patria Stock please use our How to Invest in Patria Investments guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Patria contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Patria Investments will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Patria Investments trading at USD 14.61, that is roughly USD 0.007762 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Patria Investments' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Patria Investments options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Patria Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Patria Investments' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Patria Investments' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Patria Investments stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Patria Investments' open interest, investors have to compare it to Patria Investments' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Patria Investments is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Patria. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Patria Investments Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Patria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Patria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Patria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Patria Investments has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0367. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Patria Investments is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Patria Investments to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Patria Investments trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Patria Investments VolatilityBacktest Patria InvestmentsInformation Ratio  

Patria Investments Trading Date Momentum

On February 01 2026 Patria Investments was traded for  14.61  at the closing time. Highest Patria Investments's price during the trading hours was 14.72  and the lowest price during the day was  14.18 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 1st of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.48% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Patria Investments to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Patria Investments

For every potential investor in Patria, whether a beginner or expert, Patria Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Patria Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Patria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Patria Investments' price trends.

Patria Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Patria Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Patria Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Patria Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Patria Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Patria Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Patria Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Patria Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Patria Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Patria Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of Patria Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Patria Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting patria stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Patria Investments

The number of cover stories for Patria Investments depends on current market conditions and Patria Investments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Patria Investments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Patria Investments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Patria Investments Short Properties

Patria Investments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Patria Investments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Patria Investments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Patria Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Patria Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.4 M

Additional Tools for Patria Stock Analysis

When running Patria Investments' price analysis, check to measure Patria Investments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Patria Investments is operating at the current time. Most of Patria Investments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Patria Investments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Patria Investments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Patria Investments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.