President Bakery Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PB Stock  THB 59.50  0.25  0.42%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of President Bakery Public on the next trading day is expected to be 59.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.18. President Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
President Bakery polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for President Bakery Public as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

President Bakery Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of President Bakery Public on the next trading day is expected to be 59.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict President Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that President Bakery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

President Bakery Stock Forecast Pattern

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President Bakery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting President Bakery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. President Bakery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.94 and 60.52, respectively. We have considered President Bakery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.50
59.73
Expected Value
60.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of President Bakery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent President Bakery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5671
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4061
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors25.1751
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the President Bakery historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for President Bakery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as President Bakery Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.7159.5060.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.2853.0765.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as President Bakery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against President Bakery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, President Bakery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in President Bakery Public.

Other Forecasting Options for President Bakery

For every potential investor in President, whether a beginner or expert, President Bakery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. President Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in President. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying President Bakery's price trends.

President Bakery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with President Bakery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of President Bakery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing President Bakery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

President Bakery Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of President Bakery's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of President Bakery's current price.

President Bakery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how President Bakery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading President Bakery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying President Bakery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify President Bakery Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

President Bakery Risk Indicators

The analysis of President Bakery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in President Bakery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting president stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in President Stock

President Bakery financial ratios help investors to determine whether President Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in President with respect to the benefits of owning President Bakery security.