Pembina Pipeline Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PBA Stock | USD 40.61 0.09 0.22% |
Pembina Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pembina Pipeline stock prices and determine the direction of Pembina Pipeline Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pembina Pipeline's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Pembina Pipeline's stock price is about 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pembina, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.831 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7667 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8479 | Wall Street Target Price 37.7016 |
Using Pembina Pipeline hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pembina Pipeline Corp from the perspective of Pembina Pipeline response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pembina Pipeline using Pembina Pipeline's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pembina using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pembina Pipeline's stock price.
Pembina Pipeline Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Pembina Pipeline's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Pembina. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Pembina Pipeline stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 37.97 | Short Percent 0.0036 | Short Ratio 10.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.4 M | 50 Day MA 38.2728 |
Pembina Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pembina Pipeline Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.58.Pembina Pipeline Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Pembina Pipeline's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pembina. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pembina can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pembina Pipeline Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pembina Pipeline's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pembina Pipeline.
Pembina Pipeline Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
Pembina Pipeline's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pembina Pipeline Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pembina Pipeline's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pembina Pipeline stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pembina Pipeline's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pembina Pipeline Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.58. Pembina Pipeline after-hype prediction price | USD 40.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pembina Pipeline to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pembina contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pembina Pipeline Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Pembina Pipeline trading at USD 40.61, that is roughly USD 0.0145 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pembina Pipeline's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pembina Pipeline Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Pembina Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pembina Pipeline's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pembina Pipeline's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pembina Pipeline stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pembina Pipeline's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pembina Pipeline's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pembina Pipeline is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pembina. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Pembina Pipeline Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pembina price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pembina using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pembina charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pembina Pipeline Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pembina Pipeline Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pembina Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pembina Pipeline's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pembina Pipeline Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pembina Pipeline | Pembina Pipeline Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pembina Pipeline Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pembina Pipeline's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pembina Pipeline's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.52 and 41.98, respectively. We have considered Pembina Pipeline's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pembina Pipeline stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pembina Pipeline stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0824 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3488 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0092 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.58 |
Predictive Modules for Pembina Pipeline
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pembina Pipeline Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pembina Pipeline After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pembina Pipeline at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pembina Pipeline or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pembina Pipeline, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pembina Pipeline Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pembina Pipeline's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pembina Pipeline's historical news coverage. Pembina Pipeline's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.19 and 41.65, respectively. We have considered Pembina Pipeline's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pembina Pipeline is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pembina Pipeline Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pembina Pipeline Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pembina Pipeline is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pembina Pipeline backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pembina Pipeline, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.23 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.61 | 40.42 | 0.47 |
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Pembina Pipeline Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Pembina Pipeline Corp is traded for 40.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Pembina is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 105.13%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Pembina Pipeline is about 107.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.43. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Pembina Pipeline was at this time reported as 18.9. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.35. Pembina Pipeline Corp last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pembina Pipeline to cross-verify your projections.Pembina Pipeline Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pembina Pipeline's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pembina Pipeline's future price movements. Getting to know how Pembina Pipeline's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pembina Pipeline may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VG | Venture Global | 0.77 | 9 per month | 4.18 | (0) | 6.78 | (7.80) | 17.61 | |
| CQP | Cheniere Energy Partners | 1.20 | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.07 | 2.36 | (2.09) | 7.32 | |
| TS | Tenaris SA ADR | (0.32) | 11 per month | 1.28 | 0.18 | 3.76 | (2.24) | 9.87 | |
| HAL | Halliburton | 1.20 | 37 per month | 1.60 | 0.18 | 4.23 | (3.16) | 11.25 | |
| DVN | Devon Energy | (0.94) | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.11 | 3.91 | (3.33) | 9.52 | |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land | (6.58) | 28 per month | 2.25 | 0.04 | 5.79 | (3.90) | 16.39 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | 0.09 | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.26 | 3.80 | (3.07) | 10.93 | |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | (0.59) | 12 per month | 1.54 | 0.11 | 2.45 | (2.90) | 9.69 | |
| EXEEL | Expand Energy | (6.63) | 6 per month | 1.78 | 0.03 | 4.97 | (3.34) | 13.68 | |
| FTI | TechnipFMC PLC | 0.39 | 11 per month | 1.03 | 0.28 | 3.59 | (1.94) | 14.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pembina Pipeline
For every potential investor in Pembina, whether a beginner or expert, Pembina Pipeline's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pembina Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pembina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pembina Pipeline's price trends.Pembina Pipeline Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pembina Pipeline stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pembina Pipeline could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pembina Pipeline by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pembina Pipeline Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pembina Pipeline stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pembina Pipeline shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pembina Pipeline stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pembina Pipeline Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pembina Pipeline Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pembina Pipeline's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pembina Pipeline's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pembina stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8893 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pembina Pipeline
The number of cover stories for Pembina Pipeline depends on current market conditions and Pembina Pipeline's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pembina Pipeline is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pembina Pipeline's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pembina Pipeline Short Properties
Pembina Pipeline's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pembina Pipeline's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pembina Pipeline Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pembina Pipeline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pembina Pipeline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 574 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pembina Pipeline to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pembina Pipeline. If investors know Pembina will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pembina Pipeline listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 2.798 | Earnings Share 2.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Pembina Pipeline Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pembina that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pembina Pipeline's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pembina Pipeline's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pembina Pipeline's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pembina Pipeline's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pembina Pipeline's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pembina Pipeline is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pembina Pipeline's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.