Peoples Bank Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

PBCO Stock  USD 18.20  0.15  0.83%   
Peoples Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today The relative strength index (RSI) of Peoples Bank's share price is above 80 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 83

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Peoples Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Peoples Bank of, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Peoples Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peoples Bank of from the perspective of Peoples Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Peoples Bank of on the next trading day is expected to be 18.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24.

Peoples Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peoples Bank to cross-verify your projections.

Peoples Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Peoples price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peoples using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peoples charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Peoples Bank price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Peoples Bank Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Peoples Bank of on the next trading day is expected to be 18.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peoples Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peoples Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Peoples Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Peoples Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Peoples Bank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peoples Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.82 and 18.51, respectively. We have considered Peoples Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.20
18.16
Expected Value
18.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peoples Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peoples Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6339
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0858
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors5.236
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Peoples Bank of historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Peoples Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peoples Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Peoples Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8618.2018.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3616.7020.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.7717.9718.16
Details

Peoples Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Peoples Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peoples Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Peoples Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Peoples Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Peoples Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peoples Bank's historical news coverage. Peoples Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.86 and 18.54, respectively. We have considered Peoples Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.20
18.20
After-hype Price
18.54
Upside
Peoples Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peoples Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

Peoples Bank Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peoples Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peoples Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peoples Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.34
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.20
18.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Peoples Bank Hype Timeline

Peoples Bank is at this time traded for 18.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Peoples is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Peoples Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.20. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of August 2009. Peoples Bank had 105:100 split on the 6th of October 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peoples Bank to cross-verify your projections.

Peoples Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Peoples Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peoples Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Peoples Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peoples Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FTFIFirst Berlin Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.71  0.11  2.29 (0.76) 9.10 
NMBFNmb Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.49  0.00  33.71 
FCOB1st Colonial Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.12  2.17 (1.32) 3.83 
BEOBBEO Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.19  0.03  2.36 (1.92) 8.14 
PPLLPeoples 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  1.61  0.00  65.12 
CYVFCrystal Valley Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.03  1.33 (0.96) 8.13 
CNBBCnb Community Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 1.17 (0.56) 3.04 
BCTFBancorp 34 0.00 0 per month 0.53 (0.07) 0.96 (1.41) 5.89 
BLHKBlueharbor Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.62  0.01  2.66 (2.59) 17.51 
TRVRTwo Rivers Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.68  0.22  3.27 (1.53) 16.03 

Other Forecasting Options for Peoples Bank

For every potential investor in Peoples, whether a beginner or expert, Peoples Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peoples Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peoples. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peoples Bank's price trends.

Peoples Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peoples Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peoples Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peoples Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Peoples Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peoples Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peoples Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peoples Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Peoples Bank of entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Peoples Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Peoples Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peoples Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peoples pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Peoples Bank

The number of cover stories for Peoples Bank depends on current market conditions and Peoples Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peoples Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peoples Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Peoples Pink Sheet

Peoples Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peoples Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peoples with respect to the benefits of owning Peoples Bank security.