Stern Groep Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| PBH Stock | 3.54 0.06 1.67% |
Stern Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Stern Groep's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.782 | Wall Street Target Price 13.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.098 |
Using Stern Groep hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stern Groep NV from the perspective of Stern Groep response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Stern Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 3.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.51. Stern Groep after-hype prediction price | EUR 3.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Stern |
Stern Groep Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stern Groep 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Stern Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 3.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stern Groep's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stern Groep Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stern Groep | Stern Groep Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Stern Groep Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stern Groep's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stern Groep's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 7.99, respectively. We have considered Stern Groep's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stern Groep stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stern Groep stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 100.2523 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0727 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0851 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0246 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.5125 |
Predictive Modules for Stern Groep
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stern Groep NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stern Groep After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stern Groep at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stern Groep or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stern Groep, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stern Groep Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stern Groep's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stern Groep's historical news coverage. Stern Groep's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 8.01, respectively. We have considered Stern Groep's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stern Groep is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stern Groep NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stern Groep Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stern Groep is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stern Groep backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stern Groep, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 4.43 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.54 | 3.55 | 0.28 |
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Stern Groep Hype Timeline
Stern Groep NV is at this time traded for 3.54on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Stern is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Stern Groep is about 28190.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.53. Net Loss for the year was (384 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.89 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stern Groep to cross-verify your projections.Stern Groep Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stern Groep's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stern Groep's future price movements. Getting to know how Stern Groep's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stern Groep may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARAMI | Aramis SAS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 2.92 | (4.50) | 10.18 | |
| CTAC | Ctac NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.56 | (2.12) | 9.00 | |
| EAS2P | Ease2pay NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.55 | (4.17) | 12.68 | |
| KENDR | Kendrion NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.13 | 2.67 | (2.04) | 8.17 | |
| MLAA | L Agence Automobiliere | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.52 | (0.52) | 13.96 | |
| PREVA | Value8 NV | (0.11) | 5 per month | 1.27 | (0.04) | 1.91 | (2.28) | 6.12 | |
| SIFG | Sif Holding NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.08 | 4.96 | (2.16) | 12.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stern Groep
For every potential investor in Stern, whether a beginner or expert, Stern Groep's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stern Groep's price trends.Stern Groep Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stern Groep stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stern Groep could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stern Groep by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stern Groep Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stern Groep stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stern Groep shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stern Groep stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stern Groep NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Stern Groep Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stern Groep's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stern Groep's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6503 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.32 | |||
| Variance | 18.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4228 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stern Groep
The number of cover stories for Stern Groep depends on current market conditions and Stern Groep's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stern Groep is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stern Groep's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Stern Groep Short Properties
Stern Groep's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stern Groep's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stern Groep NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stern Groep's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stern Groep's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 M | |
| Shares Float | 532 K |
Additional Tools for Stern Stock Analysis
When running Stern Groep's price analysis, check to measure Stern Groep's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stern Groep is operating at the current time. Most of Stern Groep's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stern Groep's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stern Groep's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stern Groep to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.