Petroleo Brasileiro Stock Forward View
| PBR Stock | USD 15.34 0.18 1.16% |
Petroleo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Petroleo Brasileiro's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Petroleo Brasileiro's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Petroleo Brasileiro fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Petroleo Brasileiro's share price is above 70 as of today indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Petroleo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 79
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.005 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5486 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.0529 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5033 | Wall Street Target Price 14.7443 |
Using Petroleo Brasileiro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras from the perspective of Petroleo Brasileiro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Petroleo Brasileiro using Petroleo Brasileiro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Petroleo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Petroleo Brasileiro's stock price.
Petroleo Brasileiro Short Interest
An investor who is long Petroleo Brasileiro may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Petroleo Brasileiro and may potentially protect profits, hedge Petroleo Brasileiro with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 12.5837 | Short Percent 0.0127 | Short Ratio 0.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 28.2 M | 50 Day MA 12.3294 |
Petroleo Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras on the next trading day is expected to be 16.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.89.Petroleo Brasileiro Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Petroleo Brasileiro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Petroleo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Petroleo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Petroleo Brasileiro's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Petroleo Brasileiro.
Petroleo Brasileiro Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Petroleo Brasileiro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Petroleo Brasileiro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Petroleo Brasileiro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Petroleo Brasileiro's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras on the next trading day is expected to be 16.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.89.
Petroleo Brasileiro after-hype prediction price | USD 15.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Petroleo Brasileiro to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Petroleo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Petroleo Brasileiro trading at USD 15.34, that is roughly USD 0.005848 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Petroleo Brasileiro's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Petroleo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Petroleo Brasileiro's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Petroleo Brasileiro's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Petroleo Brasileiro stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Petroleo Brasileiro's open interest, investors have to compare it to Petroleo Brasileiro's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Petroleo Brasileiro is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Petroleo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Petroleo Brasileiro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Petroleo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Petroleo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Petroleo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Petroleo Brasileiro Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Petroleo Brasileiro's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2000-03-31 | Previous Quarter 7 B | Current Value 9 B | Quarterly Volatility 6.7 B |
Petroleo Brasileiro Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras on the next trading day is expected to be 16.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Petroleo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Petroleo Brasileiro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Petroleo Brasileiro Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Petroleo Brasileiro | Petroleo Brasileiro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Petroleo Brasileiro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Petroleo Brasileiro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Petroleo Brasileiro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.43 and 18.30, respectively. We have considered Petroleo Brasileiro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Petroleo Brasileiro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Petroleo Brasileiro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2507 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1949 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0154 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.8898 |
Predictive Modules for Petroleo Brasileiro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Petroleo Brasileiro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Petroleo Brasileiro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Petroleo Brasileiro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Petroleo Brasileiro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Petroleo Brasileiro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Petroleo Brasileiro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Petroleo Brasileiro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Petroleo Brasileiro's historical news coverage. Petroleo Brasileiro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.41 and 17.27, respectively. We have considered Petroleo Brasileiro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Petroleo Brasileiro is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Petroleo Brasileiro is based on 3 months time horizon.
Petroleo Brasileiro Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Petroleo Brasileiro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Petroleo Brasileiro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Petroleo Brasileiro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 1.93 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.34 | 15.34 | 0.00 |
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Petroleo Brasileiro Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Petroleo Brasileiro is traded for 15.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Petroleo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Petroleo Brasileiro is about 2244.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.38. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.26. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Petroleo Brasileiro has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of May 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Petroleo Brasileiro to cross-verify your projections.Petroleo Brasileiro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Petroleo Brasileiro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Petroleo Brasileiro's future price movements. Getting to know how Petroleo Brasileiro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Petroleo Brasileiro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WMB | Williams Companies | 0.30 | 9 per month | 1.21 | 0.15 | 2.35 | (1.80) | 6.27 | |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.08 | 2.86 | (2.09) | 7.91 | |
| BP | BP PLC ADR | (0.19) | 8 per month | 1.72 | 0.07 | 2.42 | (3.37) | 8.04 | |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partners | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.63 | 0.13 | 1.51 | (1.33) | 3.41 | |
| E | Eni SpA ADR | (0.31) | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.1 | 2.04 | (2.26) | 6.47 | |
| CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources | 0.37 | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.13 | 3.14 | (1.99) | 9.23 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.75 | 0.29 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 | |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | 0.56 | 6 per month | 1.00 | 0.17 | 2.01 | (1.61) | 6.34 | |
| EOG | EOG Resources | (0.39) | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.04 | 2.49 | (2.27) | 6.52 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | 0.46 | 8 per month | 0.65 | 0.12 | 2.22 | (1.33) | 3.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Petroleo Brasileiro
For every potential investor in Petroleo, whether a beginner or expert, Petroleo Brasileiro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Petroleo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Petroleo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Petroleo Brasileiro's price trends.Petroleo Brasileiro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Petroleo Brasileiro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Petroleo Brasileiro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Petroleo Brasileiro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Petroleo Brasileiro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Petroleo Brasileiro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Petroleo Brasileiro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Petroleo Brasileiro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Petroleo Brasileiro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Petroleo Brasileiro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Petroleo Brasileiro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting petroleo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Variance | 3.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Petroleo Brasileiro
The number of cover stories for Petroleo Brasileiro depends on current market conditions and Petroleo Brasileiro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Petroleo Brasileiro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Petroleo Brasileiro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Petroleo Brasileiro Short Properties
Petroleo Brasileiro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Petroleo Brasileiro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Petroleo Brasileiro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Petroleo Brasileiro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.5 B |
Additional Tools for Petroleo Stock Analysis
When running Petroleo Brasileiro's price analysis, check to measure Petroleo Brasileiro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Petroleo Brasileiro is operating at the current time. Most of Petroleo Brasileiro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Petroleo Brasileiro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Petroleo Brasileiro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Petroleo Brasileiro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.