PCB Tec Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

PCBT Stock  ILA 716.50  7.90  1.09%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PCB Tec on the next trading day is expected to be 722.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 884.35. PCB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PCB Tec stock prices and determine the direction of PCB Tec's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PCB Tec's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for PCB Tec works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

PCB Tec Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PCB Tec on the next trading day is expected to be 722.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.99, mean absolute percentage error of 520.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 884.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PCB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PCB Tec's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PCB Tec Stock Forecast Pattern

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PCB Tec Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PCB Tec's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PCB Tec's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 718.54 and 726.07, respectively. We have considered PCB Tec's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
716.50
718.54
Downside
722.31
Expected Value
726.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PCB Tec stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PCB Tec stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.4786
MADMean absolute deviation14.9891
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0258
SAESum of the absolute errors884.3545
When PCB Tec prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any PCB Tec trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent PCB Tec observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for PCB Tec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PCB Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
720.59724.40728.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
533.53537.34796.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PCB Tec

For every potential investor in PCB, whether a beginner or expert, PCB Tec's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PCB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PCB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PCB Tec's price trends.

PCB Tec Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PCB Tec stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PCB Tec could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PCB Tec by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PCB Tec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PCB Tec's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PCB Tec's current price.

PCB Tec Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PCB Tec stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PCB Tec shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PCB Tec stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PCB Tec entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PCB Tec Risk Indicators

The analysis of PCB Tec's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PCB Tec's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pcb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in PCB Stock

PCB Tec financial ratios help investors to determine whether PCB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PCB with respect to the benefits of owning PCB Tec security.