Pacific Conquest Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PCHK Stock | USD 0.0003 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacific Conquest Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000333 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Pacific Conquest's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pacific Conquest hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacific Conquest Holdings from the perspective of Pacific Conquest response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacific Conquest Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000333 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. Pacific Conquest after-hype prediction price | USD 2.27E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pacific |
Pacific Conquest Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pacific Conquest Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacific Conquest Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000333, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Conquest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pacific Conquest Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Pacific Conquest Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pacific Conquest's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Conquest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 25.20, respectively. We have considered Pacific Conquest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Conquest pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Conquest pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 95.1439 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0111 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Pacific Conquest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Conquest Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pacific Conquest After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pacific Conquest at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacific Conquest or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pacific Conquest, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pacific Conquest Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pacific Conquest's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pacific Conquest's historical news coverage. Pacific Conquest's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 25.00, respectively. We have considered Pacific Conquest's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pacific Conquest is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pacific Conquest Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pacific Conquest Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pacific Conquest is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacific Conquest backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacific Conquest, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.17 | 25.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0003 | 0.0002 | 24.21 |
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Pacific Conquest Hype Timeline
Pacific Conquest Holdings is at this time traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pacific is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.27E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -24.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 3.17%. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Conquest is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2019. Pacific Conquest Holdings had 1:50 split on the 31st of May 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Conquest to cross-verify your projections.Pacific Conquest Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pacific Conquest's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacific Conquest's future price movements. Getting to know how Pacific Conquest's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacific Conquest may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVSV | Enviro Serv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 23.08 | (29.03) | 88.53 | |
| XLPI | XcelPlus International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 575.00 | |
| PERL | Perla Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WOAM | World Am | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MGLI | Magellan Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UVSS | Universal Systems | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CLIRF | Clearford Water Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PRTR | Precicion Trim | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ULTRF | Ultrapetrol Bahamas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EVSP | Environmental Service Professionals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Conquest
For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Conquest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Conquest's price trends.Pacific Conquest Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Conquest pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Conquest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Conquest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pacific Conquest Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Conquest pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Conquest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Conquest pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Conquest Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0E-4 |
Pacific Conquest Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pacific Conquest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Conquest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 24.62 | |||
| Variance | 606.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pacific Conquest
The number of cover stories for Pacific Conquest depends on current market conditions and Pacific Conquest's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pacific Conquest is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pacific Conquest's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Pacific Pink Sheet
Pacific Conquest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Conquest security.