FundVantage Trust Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PCLG Etf | 21.75 0.40 1.81% |
FundVantage Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of FundVantage Trust's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of FundVantage Trust's share price is below 20 indicating that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FundVantage Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FundVantage Trust from the perspective of FundVantage Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FundVantage Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 21.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.16. FundVantage Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 22.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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FundVantage Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FundVantage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FundVantage using various technical indicators. When you analyze FundVantage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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FundVantage Trust Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FundVantage Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 21.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FundVantage Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FundVantage Trust's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FundVantage Trust Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FundVantage Trust | FundVantage Trust Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
FundVantage Trust Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FundVantage Trust's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FundVantage Trust's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.73 and 22.77, respectively. We have considered FundVantage Trust's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FundVantage Trust etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FundVantage Trust etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9889 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0675 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2231 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0093 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.16 |
Predictive Modules for FundVantage Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FundVantage Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FundVantage Trust After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FundVantage Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FundVantage Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of FundVantage Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FundVantage Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FundVantage Trust's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FundVantage Trust's historical news coverage. FundVantage Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.09 and 23.13, respectively. We have considered FundVantage Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FundVantage Trust is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FundVantage Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
FundVantage Trust Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as FundVantage Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FundVantage Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FundVantage Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.02 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.75 | 22.11 | 0.18 |
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FundVantage Trust Hype Timeline
FundVantage Trust is at this time traded for 21.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. FundVantage is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on FundVantage Trust is about 2756.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.74. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FundVantage Trust to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in FundVantage Etf please use our How to Invest in FundVantage Trust guide.FundVantage Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FundVantage Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FundVantage Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how FundVantage Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FundVantage Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMCX | Northern Lights | (0.11) | 1 per month | 1.31 | (0.08) | 1.54 | (1.75) | 6.99 | |
| EVIM | Morgan Stanley ETF | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.70) | 0.17 | (0.13) | 0.56 | |
| YLDE | ClearBridge Dividend Strategy | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.40 | 0.08 | 0.99 | (0.86) | 2.52 | |
| MFEM | PIMCO RAFI Dynamic | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.59 | 0.16 | 1.72 | (0.95) | 5.05 | |
| FAAR | First Trust Alternative | (0.26) | 2 per month | 0.75 | 0.01 | 1.27 | (1.26) | 2.91 | |
| PHEQ | Morgan Stanley ETF | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.20) | 0.53 | (0.58) | 1.95 | |
| EDGI | The Advisors Inner | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.57 | 0.12 | 1.19 | (1.33) | 3.13 | |
| COPY | The RBB Fund | (0.07) | 3 per month | 0.35 | 0.21 | 1.49 | (1.36) | 3.63 | |
| SOVF | Elevation Series Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | (0.06) | 1.69 | (1.48) | 3.75 | |
| ALTL | Pacer Lunt Large | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.18 | (0.02) | 1.87 | (2.31) | 5.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for FundVantage Trust
For every potential investor in FundVantage, whether a beginner or expert, FundVantage Trust's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FundVantage Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FundVantage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FundVantage Trust's price trends.FundVantage Trust Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FundVantage Trust etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FundVantage Trust could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FundVantage Trust by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FundVantage Trust Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FundVantage Trust etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FundVantage Trust shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FundVantage Trust etf market strength indicators, traders can identify FundVantage Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FundVantage Trust Risk Indicators
The analysis of FundVantage Trust's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FundVantage Trust's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fundvantage etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7904 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Variance | 1.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FundVantage Trust
The number of cover stories for FundVantage Trust depends on current market conditions and FundVantage Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FundVantage Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FundVantage Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FundVantage Trust to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in FundVantage Etf please use our How to Invest in FundVantage Trust guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
The market value of FundVantage Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FundVantage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FundVantage Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FundVantage Trust's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because FundVantage Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FundVantage Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between FundVantage Trust's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding FundVantage Trust should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, FundVantage Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.