PCCW Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PCWLF Stock | USD 0.78 0.07 9.86% |
PCCW Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of PCCW's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of PCCW's share price is at 56 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PCCW, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PCCW hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PCCW Limited from the perspective of PCCW response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PCCW Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.13. PCCW after-hype prediction price | USD 0.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PCCW |
PCCW Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PCCW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PCCW using various technical indicators. When you analyze PCCW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PCCW Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PCCW Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PCCW Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PCCW's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PCCW Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PCCW | PCCW Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PCCW Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PCCW's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PCCW's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.32, respectively. We have considered PCCW's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PCCW pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PCCW pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.6027 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0016 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0185 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0252 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.1281 |
Predictive Modules for PCCW
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PCCW Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PCCW After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PCCW at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PCCW or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of PCCW, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PCCW Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PCCW's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PCCW's historical news coverage. PCCW's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.17, respectively. We have considered PCCW's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PCCW is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PCCW Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
PCCW Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PCCW is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PCCW backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PCCW, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 3.55 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.78 | 0.62 | 20.51 |
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PCCW Hype Timeline
PCCW Limited is at this time traded for 0.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. PCCW is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -20.51%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on PCCW is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.78. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of PCCW was at this time reported as 1.54. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2022. PCCW Limited had 1:5 split on the 8th of January 2003. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PCCW to cross-verify your projections.PCCW Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PCCW's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PCCW's future price movements. Getting to know how PCCW's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PCCW may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCPFF | True Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.75 | |
| AXXTF | Axiata Group Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.04 | 0.02 | 7.84 | (11.63) | 48.33 | |
| BZQIF | Bezeq The Israel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 3.31 | 0.00 | 24.01 | |
| BZQIY | Bezeq Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 6.93 | 0.00 | 19.24 | |
| PHTCF | PLDT Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CUCSF | China Communications Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 66.67 | (41.82) | 108.48 | |
| FRTAF | freenet AG | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.04 | |
| CUCSY | China Communications Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.17 | |
| TOWTF | Tower One Wireless | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRKNY | Turk Telekomunikasyon AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.98 | 0.06 | 6.82 | (3.66) | 84.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for PCCW
For every potential investor in PCCW, whether a beginner or expert, PCCW's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PCCW Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PCCW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PCCW's price trends.PCCW Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PCCW pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PCCW could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PCCW by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PCCW Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PCCW pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PCCW shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PCCW pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PCCW Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PCCW Risk Indicators
The analysis of PCCW's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PCCW's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pccw pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Variance | 14.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PCCW
The number of cover stories for PCCW depends on current market conditions and PCCW's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PCCW is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PCCW's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in PCCW Pink Sheet
PCCW financial ratios help investors to determine whether PCCW Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PCCW with respect to the benefits of owning PCCW security.