Pyramid Games Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PDG Stock | 8.40 0.05 0.60% |
Pyramid Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Pyramid Games' share price is at 57 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pyramid Games, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pyramid Games hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pyramid Games SA from the perspective of Pyramid Games response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pyramid Games SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.72. Pyramid Games after-hype prediction price | PLN 8.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pyramid |
Pyramid Games Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pyramid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pyramid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pyramid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pyramid Games Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pyramid Games SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pyramid Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pyramid Games' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pyramid Games Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pyramid Games | Pyramid Games Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pyramid Games Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pyramid Games' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pyramid Games' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.26 and 14.55, respectively. We have considered Pyramid Games' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pyramid Games stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pyramid Games stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4012 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0675 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4453 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0414 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.7169 |
Predictive Modules for Pyramid Games
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pyramid Games SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pyramid Games' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pyramid Games After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pyramid Games at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pyramid Games or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pyramid Games, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pyramid Games Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pyramid Games' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pyramid Games' historical news coverage. Pyramid Games' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.26 and 14.54, respectively. We have considered Pyramid Games' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pyramid Games is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pyramid Games SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pyramid Games Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pyramid Games is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pyramid Games backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pyramid Games, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 6.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.40 | 8.40 | 0.00 |
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Pyramid Games Hype Timeline
Pyramid Games SA is at this time traded for 8.40on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pyramid is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pyramid Games is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.40. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pyramid Games to cross-verify your projections.Pyramid Games Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pyramid Games' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pyramid Games' future price movements. Getting to know how Pyramid Games' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pyramid Games may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXA | Examobile SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.94 | 0.07 | 7.47 | (5.94) | 20.44 | |
| IPO | Intersport Polska SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.17 | (4.26) | 13.43 | |
| TGS | True Games Syndicate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.14 | (3.57) | 30.95 | |
| CRM | PZ Cormay SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | (0.01) | 7.89 | (4.55) | 15.59 | |
| GRX | GreenX Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.06 | 3.85 | (4.29) | 29.26 | |
| SKL | Skyline Investment SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | (0) | 2.74 | (2.78) | 10.11 | |
| ULG | Ultimate Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | (0.03) | 4.27 | (3.74) | 11.22 | |
| GOP | Games Operators SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.67 | (3.78) | 15.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pyramid Games
For every potential investor in Pyramid, whether a beginner or expert, Pyramid Games' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pyramid Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pyramid. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pyramid Games' price trends.Pyramid Games Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pyramid Games stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pyramid Games could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pyramid Games by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pyramid Games Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pyramid Games stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pyramid Games shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pyramid Games stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pyramid Games SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pyramid Games Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pyramid Games' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pyramid Games' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pyramid stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.96 | |||
| Variance | 35.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pyramid Games
The number of cover stories for Pyramid Games depends on current market conditions and Pyramid Games' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pyramid Games is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pyramid Games' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Pyramid Stock Analysis
When running Pyramid Games' price analysis, check to measure Pyramid Games' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pyramid Games is operating at the current time. Most of Pyramid Games' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pyramid Games' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pyramid Games' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pyramid Games to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.