Pendragon PLC Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression
| PDGNF Stock | USD 6.17 0.09 1.44% |
Pendragon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Pendragon PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Pendragon PLC's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pendragon PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pendragon PLC from the perspective of Pendragon PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pendragon PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 5.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.15. Pendragon PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 6.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pendragon |
Pendragon PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pendragon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pendragon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pendragon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pendragon PLC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pendragon PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 5.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pendragon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pendragon PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pendragon PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pendragon PLC | Pendragon PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pendragon PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pendragon PLC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pendragon PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.15 and 9.77, respectively. We have considered Pendragon PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pendragon PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pendragon PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7097 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4122 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0815 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.1472 |
Predictive Modules for Pendragon PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pendragon PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pendragon PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pendragon PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pendragon PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pendragon PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pendragon PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pendragon PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pendragon PLC's historical news coverage. Pendragon PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.86 and 10.48, respectively. We have considered Pendragon PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pendragon PLC is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pendragon PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pendragon PLC Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pendragon PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pendragon PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pendragon PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.17 | 6.17 | 0.00 |
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Pendragon PLC Hype Timeline
Pendragon PLC is at this time traded for 6.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pendragon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pendragon PLC is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.17. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pendragon PLC last dividend was issued on the 18th of April 2019. The entity had 5:1 split on the 27th of December 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pendragon PLC to cross-verify your projections.Pendragon PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pendragon PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pendragon PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Pendragon PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pendragon PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LKKRF | Lookers Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JSPCF | JSP Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (2.97) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | |
| VTSCY | Vitesco Technologies Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MLYSF | Marley Spoon AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EPRJF | Emperor Watch Jewellery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.77 | |
| SYHLF | Symphony Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XNGIF | Xingda International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NPSGF | Nippon Sheet Glass | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.57 | |
| NPSGY | Nippon Sheet Glass | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CFSKF | Chofu Seisakusho Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pendragon PLC
For every potential investor in Pendragon, whether a beginner or expert, Pendragon PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pendragon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pendragon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pendragon PLC's price trends.Pendragon PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pendragon PLC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pendragon PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pendragon PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pendragon PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pendragon PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pendragon PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pendragon PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pendragon PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
Pendragon PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pendragon PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pendragon PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pendragon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.11 | |||
| Variance | 16.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pendragon PLC
The number of cover stories for Pendragon PLC depends on current market conditions and Pendragon PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pendragon PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pendragon PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Pendragon Pink Sheet
Pendragon PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pendragon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pendragon with respect to the benefits of owning Pendragon PLC security.