Virtus Alternatives Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

Virtus Alternatives Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Virtus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virtus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virtus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Virtus Alternatives price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Virtus Alternatives Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Virtus Alternatives Diversifier on the next trading day is expected to be 16.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.11.

Virtus Alternatives Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtus Alternatives mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtus Alternatives mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Virtus Alternatives Diversifier historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Virtus Alternatives

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Alternatives. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 15.79 16.32 16.85 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15.66 16.19 16.72 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 15.50 15.93 16.37 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Virtus Alternatives. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Virtus Alternatives' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Virtus Alternatives' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Virtus Alternatives.

Virtus Alternatives After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Virtus Alternatives Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Virtus Alternatives Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Virtus Alternatives Hype Timeline

Virtus Alternatives is at this time traded for 16.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Virtus is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Virtus Alternatives is about 37100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.32. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Virtus Alternatives last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Alternatives to cross-verify your projections.

Virtus Alternatives Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Virtus Alternatives

For every potential investor in Virtus, whether a beginner or expert, Virtus Alternatives' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtus Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtus Alternatives' price trends.

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