Patterson-UTI Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PE1 Stock | EUR 7.05 0.25 3.68% |
Patterson-UTI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Patterson-UTI Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 13th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Patterson-UTI Energy's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Wall Street Target Price 9.71 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Patterson-UTI Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Patterson UTI Energy from the perspective of Patterson-UTI Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Patterson UTI Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 7.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.72. Patterson-UTI Energy after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Patterson-UTI |
Patterson-UTI Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Patterson-UTI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Patterson-UTI using various technical indicators. When you analyze Patterson-UTI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Patterson-UTI Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Patterson UTI Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 7.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Patterson-UTI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Patterson-UTI Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Patterson-UTI Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Patterson-UTI Energy | Patterson-UTI Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Patterson-UTI Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Patterson-UTI Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Patterson-UTI Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.72 and 11.36, respectively. We have considered Patterson-UTI Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Patterson-UTI Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Patterson-UTI Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.139 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0427 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1594 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0284 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.7217 |
Predictive Modules for Patterson-UTI Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Patterson UTI Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Patterson-UTI Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Patterson-UTI Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Patterson-UTI Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Patterson-UTI Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Patterson-UTI Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Patterson-UTI Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Patterson-UTI Energy's historical news coverage. Patterson-UTI Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.69 and 11.33, respectively. We have considered Patterson-UTI Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Patterson-UTI Energy is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Patterson UTI Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Patterson-UTI Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Patterson-UTI Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Patterson-UTI Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Patterson-UTI Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 4.32 | 0.04 | 0.46 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.05 | 7.01 | 0.57 |
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Patterson-UTI Energy Hype Timeline
Patterson UTI Energy is at this time traded for 7.05on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.46. Patterson-UTI is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Patterson-UTI Energy is about 655.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.59. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Patterson UTI Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.74. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.2. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Patterson-UTI Energy to cross-verify your projections.Patterson-UTI Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Patterson-UTI Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Patterson-UTI Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Patterson-UTI Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Patterson-UTI Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OGM1 | Cogent Communications Holdings | (0.50) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.43 | (8.29) | 39.78 | |
| SMG | MagnaChip Semiconductor Corp | 0.06 | 6 per month | 2.48 | 0.1 | 6.50 | (4.37) | 14.12 | |
| ELG | ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.97 | 0.05 | 2.21 | (1.95) | 7.44 | |
| BSI | BE Semiconductor Industries | (5.10) | 7 per month | 2.10 | 0.08 | 4.89 | (3.85) | 17.06 | |
| 0VD0 | UNIVMUSIC GRPADR050 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.96 | (1.92) | 10.56 | |
| WA4 | Warner Music Group | 0.29 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.14 | (2.73) | 10.45 | |
| 9YM | KRISPY KREME DL 01 | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.36 | (5.42) | 22.80 | |
| LGA | LG Display Co | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.14 | (3.05) | 9.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Patterson-UTI Energy
For every potential investor in Patterson-UTI, whether a beginner or expert, Patterson-UTI Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Patterson-UTI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Patterson-UTI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Patterson-UTI Energy's price trends.Patterson-UTI Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Patterson-UTI Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Patterson-UTI Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Patterson-UTI Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Patterson-UTI Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Patterson-UTI Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Patterson-UTI Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Patterson-UTI Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Patterson UTI Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.05 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.13 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.25 |
Patterson-UTI Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Patterson-UTI Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Patterson-UTI Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting patterson-uti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Variance | 18.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Patterson-UTI Energy
The number of cover stories for Patterson-UTI Energy depends on current market conditions and Patterson-UTI Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Patterson-UTI Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Patterson-UTI Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Patterson-UTI Energy to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Patterson-UTI Stock please use our How to Invest in Patterson-UTI Energy guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.