Peach Property Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

PEAN Stock  CHF 5.85  0.02  0.34%   
Peach Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Peach Property's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Peach Property's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Peach Property and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Peach Property's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Peach Property Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Peach Property's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.5135
Wall Street Target Price
8.2333
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
Using Peach Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peach Property Group from the perspective of Peach Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peach Property Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.38.

Peach Property after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 5.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peach Property to cross-verify your projections.

Peach Property Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Peach price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peach using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peach charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Peach Property - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Peach Property prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Peach Property price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Peach Property Group.

Peach Property Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peach Property Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peach Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peach Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Peach Property Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Peach Property  Peach Property Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Peach Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Peach Property's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peach Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.28 and 7.39, respectively. We have considered Peach Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.85
5.84
Expected Value
7.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peach Property stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peach Property stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0012
MADMean absolute deviation0.073
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0121
SAESum of the absolute errors4.3813
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Peach Property observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Peach Property Group observations.

Predictive Modules for Peach Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peach Property Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.305.857.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.015.567.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-3.31-2.6-1.81
Details

Peach Property After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Peach Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peach Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peach Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Peach Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Peach Property's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peach Property's historical news coverage. Peach Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.30 and 7.40, respectively. We have considered Peach Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.85
5.85
After-hype Price
7.40
Upside
Peach Property is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peach Property Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Peach Property Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peach Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peach Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peach Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.55
 0.00  
  0.01 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.85
5.85
0.00 
3,875  
Notes

Peach Property Hype Timeline

Peach Property Group is at this time traded for 5.85on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Peach is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Peach Property is about 113.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.84. About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Peach Property Group recorded a loss per share of 4.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of May 2022. The firm had 923:874 split on the 3rd of July 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peach Property to cross-verify your projections.

Peach Property Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Peach Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peach Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Peach Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peach Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Peach Property

For every potential investor in Peach, whether a beginner or expert, Peach Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peach Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peach. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peach Property's price trends.

Peach Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peach Property stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peach Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peach Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Peach Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peach Property stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peach Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peach Property stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peach Property Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Peach Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Peach Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peach Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peach stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Peach Property

The number of cover stories for Peach Property depends on current market conditions and Peach Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peach Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peach Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Peach Property Short Properties

Peach Property's future price predictability will typically decrease when Peach Property's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Peach Property Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Peach Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peach Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments220.8 M

Additional Tools for Peach Stock Analysis

When running Peach Property's price analysis, check to measure Peach Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peach Property is operating at the current time. Most of Peach Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peach Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peach Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peach Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.