Pacific Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PEMC Stock  USD 0.04  0.00  0.00%   
Pacific Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pacific Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Pacific Energy Mining's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pacific Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of Pacific Energy's share price is above 80 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pacific Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pacific Energy Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pacific Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacific Energy Mining from the perspective of Pacific Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Energy Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.

Pacific Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Pacific Energy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Pacific Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Energy Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000032, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pacific Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Pacific Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pacific Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 126.03, respectively. We have considered Pacific Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
126.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.0817
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.001
MADMean absolute deviation0.001
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0247
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0582
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Pacific Energy Mining price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Pacific Energy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Pacific Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Energy Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0452.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0352.03
Details

Pacific Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pacific Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacific Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pacific Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pacific Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pacific Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pacific Energy's historical news coverage. Pacific Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 52.04, respectively. We have considered Pacific Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.04
0.04
After-hype Price
52.04
Upside
Pacific Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pacific Energy Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pacific Energy Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pacific Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacific Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacific Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  15.87 
125.99
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.04
0.04
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Pacific Energy Hype Timeline

Pacific Energy Mining is at this time traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pacific is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 15.87%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pacific Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacific Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Pacific Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacific Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WWNGWW Energy 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DVFIDiversified Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TRSITrophy Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 18.92 (25.00) 77.27 
VTGDFVantage Drilling 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  1,091 
ONTRFBlackrock Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ERINQErin Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CPYJCustom Designed Compressor 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SNVPSavoy Energy Corp 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FRMCFormcap Corp 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SCNGStrattner Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  100.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Energy

For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Energy's price trends.

Pacific Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pacific Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Energy Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pacific Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pacific Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pacific Energy

The number of cover stories for Pacific Energy depends on current market conditions and Pacific Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pacific Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pacific Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Pacific Pink Sheet

Pacific Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Energy security.