Thoughtful Brands Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Thoughtful Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Thoughtful Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Thoughtful Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Thoughtful Brands simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Thoughtful Brands are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Thoughtful Brands prices get older.

Thoughtful Brands Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Thoughtful Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thoughtful Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thoughtful Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thoughtful Brands Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Thoughtful Brands Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thoughtful Brands' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thoughtful Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Thoughtful Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
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Expected Value
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Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thoughtful Brands pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thoughtful Brands pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Thoughtful Brands forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Thoughtful Brands observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Thoughtful Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thoughtful Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thoughtful Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
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LowEstimatedHigh
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
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Other Forecasting Options for Thoughtful Brands

For every potential investor in Thoughtful, whether a beginner or expert, Thoughtful Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thoughtful Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thoughtful. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thoughtful Brands' price trends.

Thoughtful Brands Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thoughtful Brands pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thoughtful Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thoughtful Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thoughtful Brands Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Thoughtful Brands' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Thoughtful Brands' current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Thoughtful Pink Sheet

Thoughtful Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thoughtful Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thoughtful with respect to the benefits of owning Thoughtful Brands security.