PepGen Stock Forward View
| PEPG Stock | USD 5.22 0.38 6.79% |
PepGen Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PepGen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the RSI of PepGen's share price is approaching 48 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PepGen, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.50) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.05) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.28) | Wall Street Target Price 10 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.56) |
Using PepGen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PepGen from the perspective of PepGen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PepGen using PepGen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PepGen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PepGen's stock price.
PepGen Implied Volatility | 3.05 |
PepGen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PepGen stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PepGen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PepGen stock will not fluctuate a lot when PepGen's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PepGen on the next trading day is expected to be 4.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.23. PepGen after-hype prediction price | USD 5.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PepGen to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PepGen contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PepGen will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.19% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With PepGen trading at USD 5.22, that is roughly USD 0.009951 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PepGen's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PepGen options at the current volatility level of 3.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 PepGen Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PepGen's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PepGen's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PepGen stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PepGen's open interest, investors have to compare it to PepGen's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PepGen is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PepGen. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PepGen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PepGen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PepGen using various technical indicators. When you analyze PepGen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PepGen Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the PepGen's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-12-31 | Previous Quarter 35.1 M | Current Value 142.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 67 M |
PepGen Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PepGen on the next trading day is expected to be 4.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PepGen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PepGen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PepGen Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PepGen | PepGen Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PepGen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PepGen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PepGen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 11.03, respectively. We have considered PepGen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PepGen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PepGen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5167 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3644 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0653 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.2313 |
Predictive Modules for PepGen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PepGen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PepGen After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PepGen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PepGen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PepGen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PepGen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PepGen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PepGen's historical news coverage. PepGen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.26 and 11.29, respectively. We have considered PepGen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PepGen is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PepGen is based on 3 months time horizon.
PepGen Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PepGen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PepGen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PepGen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 6.11 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.22 | 5.22 | 0.00 |
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PepGen Hype Timeline
PepGen is at this time traded for 5.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. PepGen is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on PepGen is about 8486.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.19. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of PepGen was at this time reported as 2.37. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.82. PepGen had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PepGen to cross-verify your projections.PepGen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PepGen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PepGen's future price movements. Getting to know how PepGen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PepGen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NKTX | Nkarta Inc | (0.07) | 6 per month | 2.94 | 0.0001 | 4.31 | (4.83) | 12.70 | |
| ALEC | Alector | 0.00 | 7 per month | 3.54 | 0.11 | 5.47 | (7.32) | 17.01 | |
| MOLN | Molecular Partners AG | (0.09) | 8 per month | 3.31 | 0.06 | 4.73 | (5.45) | 26.47 | |
| APLT | Applied Therapeutics | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 10.00 | (15.73) | 83.66 | |
| SAVA | Cassava Sciences | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.05 | (7.56) | 35.02 | |
| CYBN | Cybin Inc | (0.15) | 9 per month | 3.57 | 0.07 | 6.06 | (7.30) | 18.15 | |
| ELTX | Elicio Therapeutics | 0.26 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.50 | (4.15) | 21.98 | |
| FATE | Fate Therapeutics | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.27 | (7.63) | 20.97 | |
| CRBP | Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holding | (0.56) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.60 | (8.42) | 26.87 | |
| CRDF | Cardiff Oncology | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 9.28 | (6.82) | 45.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for PepGen
For every potential investor in PepGen, whether a beginner or expert, PepGen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PepGen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PepGen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PepGen's price trends.PepGen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PepGen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PepGen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PepGen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PepGen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PepGen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PepGen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PepGen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PepGen entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PepGen Risk Indicators
The analysis of PepGen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PepGen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pepgen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.48 | |||
| Variance | 42.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 36.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PepGen
The number of cover stories for PepGen depends on current market conditions and PepGen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PepGen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PepGen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PepGen Short Properties
PepGen's future price predictability will typically decrease when PepGen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PepGen often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PepGen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PepGen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 120.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PepGen to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PepGen Stock please use our How to Invest in PepGen guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Can Biotechnology industry sustain growth momentum? Does PepGen have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PepGen. Anticipated expansion of PepGen directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating PepGen demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of PepGen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PepGen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PepGen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PepGen's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because PepGen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PepGen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between PepGen's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PepGen should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, PepGen's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.