Pinnacle Food Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PFAI Stock | 2.07 0.03 1.43% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pinnacle Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.46. Pinnacle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pinnacle Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, the RSI of Pinnacle Food's share price is approaching 43 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pinnacle Food, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 5.9 |
Using Pinnacle Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pinnacle Food Group from the perspective of Pinnacle Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pinnacle Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.46. Pinnacle Food after-hype prediction price | USD 2.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinnacle Food to cross-verify your projections. Pinnacle Food Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pinnacle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pinnacle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pinnacle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pinnacle Food Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pinnacle Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pinnacle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pinnacle Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pinnacle Food Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pinnacle Food | Pinnacle Food Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pinnacle Food Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pinnacle Food's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pinnacle Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.69, respectively. We have considered Pinnacle Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pinnacle Food stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pinnacle Food stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7739 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0224 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0743 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0316 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.4608 |
Predictive Modules for Pinnacle Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pinnacle Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pinnacle Food After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pinnacle Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pinnacle Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pinnacle Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pinnacle Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pinnacle Food's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pinnacle Food's historical news coverage. Pinnacle Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 6.66, respectively. We have considered Pinnacle Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pinnacle Food is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pinnacle Food Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pinnacle Food Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pinnacle Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pinnacle Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pinnacle Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 4.60 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.07 | 2.06 | 0.48 |
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Pinnacle Food Hype Timeline
Pinnacle Food Group is at this time traded for 2.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Pinnacle is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Pinnacle Food is about 4906.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.11. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinnacle Food to cross-verify your projections.Pinnacle Food Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pinnacle Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pinnacle Food's future price movements. Getting to know how Pinnacle Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pinnacle Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LESL | Leslies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 9.06 | (9.63) | 42.31 | |
| NDLS | Noodles Company | 0.25 | 3 per month | 4.76 | 0.01 | 11.11 | (8.45) | 27.57 | |
| MKDW | MKDWELL Tech Ordinary | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.25 | (5.88) | 31.11 | |
| NTZ | Natuzzi SpA | 0.25 | 11 per month | 4.35 | (0.01) | 10.37 | (7.04) | 25.04 | |
| FAT | FAT Brands | 0.25 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 11.11 | (14.52) | 44.83 | |
| LITB | LightInTheBox Holding Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.87 | (9.47) | 28.17 | |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.05 | (5.71) | 21.39 | |
| CRWS | Crown Crafts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | (0.04) | 2.61 | (2.39) | 9.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pinnacle Food
For every potential investor in Pinnacle, whether a beginner or expert, Pinnacle Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pinnacle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pinnacle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pinnacle Food's price trends.Pinnacle Food Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pinnacle Food stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pinnacle Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pinnacle Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pinnacle Food Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pinnacle Food stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pinnacle Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pinnacle Food stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pinnacle Food Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pinnacle Food Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pinnacle Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pinnacle Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pinnacle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.79 | |||
| Variance | 22.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pinnacle Food
The number of cover stories for Pinnacle Food depends on current market conditions and Pinnacle Food's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pinnacle Food is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pinnacle Food's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pinnacle Food Short Properties
Pinnacle Food's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pinnacle Food's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pinnacle Food Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pinnacle Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pinnacle Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 685.8 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinnacle Food to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Agricultural & Farm Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pinnacle Food. If investors know Pinnacle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pinnacle Food listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Pinnacle Food Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pinnacle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pinnacle Food's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pinnacle Food's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pinnacle Food's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pinnacle Food's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pinnacle Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pinnacle Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pinnacle Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.