Pfizer Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PFE Stock | ARS 9,770 85.00 0.88% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pfizer Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 9,767 with a mean absolute deviation of 111.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,803. Pfizer Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pfizer stock prices and determine the direction of Pfizer Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pfizer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Pfizer's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pfizer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pfizer Inc from the perspective of Pfizer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pfizer Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 9,767 with a mean absolute deviation of 111.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,803. Pfizer after-hype prediction price | ARS 9685.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pfizer |
Pfizer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pfizer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pfizer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pfizer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pfizer Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pfizer Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 9,767 with a mean absolute deviation of 111.53, mean absolute percentage error of 22,348, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,803.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pfizer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pfizer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pfizer Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pfizer | Pfizer Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pfizer Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pfizer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pfizer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9,765 and 9,769, respectively. We have considered Pfizer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pfizer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pfizer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 128.125 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -13.3081 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 111.5307 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6803.3712 |
Predictive Modules for Pfizer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pfizer Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Pfizer
For every potential investor in Pfizer, whether a beginner or expert, Pfizer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pfizer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pfizer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pfizer's price trends.Pfizer Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pfizer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pfizer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pfizer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pfizer Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pfizer's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pfizer's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pfizer Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pfizer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pfizer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pfizer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pfizer Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 479.23 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4857 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9707.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9728.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0065 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 105.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 85.0 |
Pfizer Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pfizer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pfizer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pfizer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Pfizer Stock
When determining whether Pfizer Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pfizer's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pfizer's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pfizer Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pfizer to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.