Cobalt Power Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PGP Stock  CAD 0.02  0.01  20.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cobalt Power Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49. Cobalt Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Cobalt Power's Net Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Accounts Payable is likely to climb to about 118.5 K in 2024, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 142.2 K in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Cobalt Power is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cobalt Power Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cobalt Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cobalt Power Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cobalt Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cobalt Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cobalt Power Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cobalt Power Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cobalt Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cobalt Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 25.62, respectively. We have considered Cobalt Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
25.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cobalt Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cobalt Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.4355
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0081
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1423
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4948
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cobalt Power Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cobalt Power. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cobalt Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cobalt Power Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0225.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0225.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cobalt Power

For every potential investor in Cobalt, whether a beginner or expert, Cobalt Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cobalt Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cobalt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cobalt Power's price trends.

Cobalt Power Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cobalt Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cobalt Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cobalt Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cobalt Power Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cobalt Power's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cobalt Power's current price.

Cobalt Power Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cobalt Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cobalt Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cobalt Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cobalt Power Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cobalt Power Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cobalt Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cobalt Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cobalt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Cobalt Stock Analysis

When running Cobalt Power's price analysis, check to measure Cobalt Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cobalt Power is operating at the current time. Most of Cobalt Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cobalt Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cobalt Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cobalt Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.