Paramount Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PGRE Stock | USD 6.60 0.01 0.15% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Paramount Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44. Paramount Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Paramount stock prices and determine the direction of Paramount Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Paramount's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Paramount's share price is at 57 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Paramount, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.753 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.45) | Wall Street Target Price 6.4 |
Using Paramount hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Paramount Group from the perspective of Paramount response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Paramount using Paramount's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Paramount using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Paramount's stock price.
Paramount Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Paramount's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Paramount. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Paramount stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 6.0099 | Short Percent 0.0353 | Short Ratio 3.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.9 M | 50 Day MA 6.559 |
Paramount Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Paramount's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Paramount. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Paramount can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Paramount Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Paramount's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Paramount.
Paramount Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Paramount's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Paramount Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Paramount's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Paramount stock will not fluctuate a lot when Paramount's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Paramount Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44. Paramount after-hype prediction price | USD 6.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Paramount | Build AI portfolio with Paramount Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Paramount Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Paramount's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Paramount's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Paramount stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Paramount's open interest, investors have to compare it to Paramount's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Paramount is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Paramount. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Paramount Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Paramount price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paramount using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paramount charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Paramount Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Paramount's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 439.9 M | Current Value 330.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 152.1 M |
Paramount Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Paramount Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000083, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Paramount Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Paramount's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Paramount Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Paramount | Paramount Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Paramount stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Paramount stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.7092 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0072 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.4387 |
Predictive Modules for Paramount
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paramount Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Paramount Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Paramount stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Paramount could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paramount by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Paramount Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Paramount stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Paramount shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Paramount stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Paramount Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Paramount Risk Indicators
The analysis of Paramount's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Paramount's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paramount stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1456 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.081 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1878 | |||
| Variance | 0.0353 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0478 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0066 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Paramount Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Paramount's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Paramount's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Paramount Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paramount. If investors know Paramount will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Paramount listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.753 | Earnings Share (0.44) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Paramount Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Paramount that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Paramount's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Paramount's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Paramount's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Paramount's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Paramount's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Paramount is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Paramount's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.