Elme Communities Stock Price Prediction
| ELME Stock | USD 2.18 0.02 0.93% |
Momentum 5
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.11) | Wall Street Target Price 18 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.03) |
Using Elme Communities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Elme Communities from the perspective of Elme Communities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Elme Communities using Elme Communities' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Elme using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Elme Communities' stock price.
Elme Communities Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Elme Communities' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Elme. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Elme Communities stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.6163 | Short Percent 0.0503 | Short Ratio 0.84 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 13.4992 |
Elme Communities Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Elme Communities' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Elme. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Elme can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Elme Communities. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Elme Communities' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Elme Communities.
Elme Communities Implied Volatility | 1.18 |
Elme Communities' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Elme Communities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Elme Communities' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Elme Communities stock will not fluctuate a lot when Elme Communities' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Elme Communities to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Elme because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Elme Communities after-hype prediction price | USD 1.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Elme contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Elme Communities will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0738% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Elme Communities trading at USD 2.18, that is roughly USD 0.001608 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Elme Communities' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Elme Communities options at the current volatility level of 1.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Elme Communities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Elme Communities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Elme Communities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Elme Communities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Elme Communities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Elme Communities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Elme Communities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Elme Communities' historical news coverage. Elme Communities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 13.36, respectively. We have considered Elme Communities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Elme Communities is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Elme Communities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Elme Communities Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Elme Communities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Elme Communities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Elme Communities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.61 | 11.29 | 0.11 | 0.34 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.18 | 1.98 | 8.33 |
|
Elme Communities Hype Timeline
Elme Communities is currently traded for 2.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.34. Elme is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -8.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.61%. The volatility of related hype on Elme Communities is about 5376.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.84. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Elme Communities recorded a loss per share of 1.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of January 2026. The firm had 3:2 split on the 1st of June 1992. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Elme Communities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Elme Communities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Elme Communities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Elme Communities' future price movements. Getting to know how Elme Communities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Elme Communities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PGRE | Paramount Group | 0.07 | 28 per month | 0.08 | (0.31) | 0.31 | (0.31) | 0.92 | |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.88 | 0.17 | 2.17 | (1.61) | 6.26 | |
| JBGS | JBG SMITH Properties | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.97 | (2.81) | 6.30 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.90 | (1.77) | 6.05 | |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.03 | 1.54 | (1.65) | 6.00 | |
| IIPR | Innovative Industrial Properties | (3.01) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.46 | (3.84) | 14.66 | |
| UNIT | Uniti Group | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.44 | 0.11 | 5.21 | (3.23) | 16.92 | |
| PDM | Piedmont Office Realty | 0.26 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.41 | (3.04) | 7.58 | |
| GTY | Getty Realty | 0.25 | 10 per month | 0.94 | (0.01) | 1.93 | (1.48) | 4.34 | |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.08 | (0.03) | 1.27 | (1.61) | 8.52 |
Elme Communities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Elme price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Elme using various technical indicators. When you analyze Elme charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Elme Communities Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Elme Communities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Elme Communities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Elme Communities based on analysis of Elme Communities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Elme Communities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Elme Communities's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0502 | 0.0474 | 0.0545 | 0.0571 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.62 | 5.55 | 6.38 | 8.67 |
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When running Elme Communities' price analysis, check to measure Elme Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elme Communities is operating at the current time. Most of Elme Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elme Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elme Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elme Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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