Pacific Green Pink Sheet Forward View

PGTK Stock  USD 0.0007  0.0001  16.67%   
Pacific Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Pacific Green's share price is approaching 31 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pacific Green, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 31

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pacific Green's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pacific Green Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pacific Green hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacific Green Technologies from the perspective of Pacific Green response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pacific Green Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.

Pacific Green after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.53E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Green to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Green Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Pacific Green is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Pacific Green Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Pacific Green Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pacific Green Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Green's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pacific Green Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pacific Green  Pacific Green Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Pacific Green Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pacific Green's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Green's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000007 and 127.68, respectively. We have considered Pacific Green's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0007
0.000007
Downside
0
Expected Value
127.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Green pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Green pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.7541
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0151
MAPEMean absolute percentage error16.325
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9218
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Pacific Green Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Pacific Green. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Pacific Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Green Techno. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pacific Green's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000750.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00050.0007
Details

Pacific Green After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pacific Green at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacific Green or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pacific Green, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pacific Green Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pacific Green's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pacific Green's historical news coverage. Pacific Green's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.04, respectively. We have considered Pacific Green's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0007
0.0007
After-hype Price
50.04
Upside
Pacific Green is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pacific Green Techno is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pacific Green Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pacific Green is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacific Green backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacific Green, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  13.77 
127.67
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0007
0.0007
6.77 
0.00  
Notes

Pacific Green Hype Timeline

Pacific Green Techno is at this time traded for 0.0007. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pacific is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.53E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.77%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 13.77%. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Green is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.18. Pacific Green Techno had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:2000 split on the 13th of June 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Green to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Green Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pacific Green's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacific Green's future price movements. Getting to know how Pacific Green's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacific Green may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EESHEestech 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.19  199.50 (74.96) 787.50 
DCTIFDelta CleanTech 0.00 0 per month 5.26  0.04  8.05 (13.75) 92.82 
QWTRQuest Water Global 0.00 0 per month 9.15  0.07  33.33 (18.60) 102.90 
ENPRFCurrent Water Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.00  0.00  85.00 
DNDDFDundee Sustainable Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.00  0.00  11.11 
ROBXFRobix Environmental Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DFCODalrada Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 16.49  0.15  66.67 (35.36) 216.24 
MSNVFMission Ready Solutions 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HYEGHydrogen Engine Center 0.00 0 per month 19.21  0.13  52.36 (32.10) 2,775 
MPHYFMcPhy Energy SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  900.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Green

For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Green's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Green's price trends.

Pacific Green Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Green pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Green could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Green by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pacific Green Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Green pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Green pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Green Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pacific Green Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pacific Green's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Green's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pacific Green

The number of cover stories for Pacific Green depends on current market conditions and Pacific Green's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pacific Green is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pacific Green's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Pink Sheet

Pacific Green financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Green security.