Pelangio Exploration Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PGXPF Stock  USD 0.23  0.05  27.78%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pelangio Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46. Pelangio Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pelangio Exploration's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Pelangio Exploration is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Pelangio Exploration Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pelangio Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pelangio Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pelangio Exploration's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pelangio Exploration Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Pelangio Exploration Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pelangio Exploration's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pelangio Exploration's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.51, respectively. We have considered Pelangio Exploration's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.23
0.20
Expected Value
6.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pelangio Exploration pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pelangio Exploration pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7034
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0077
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0462
SAESum of the absolute errors0.455
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Pelangio Exploration price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Pelangio Exploration. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Pelangio Exploration

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pelangio Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.236.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.176.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pelangio Exploration

For every potential investor in Pelangio, whether a beginner or expert, Pelangio Exploration's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pelangio Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pelangio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pelangio Exploration's price trends.

Pelangio Exploration Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pelangio Exploration pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pelangio Exploration could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pelangio Exploration by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pelangio Exploration Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pelangio Exploration's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pelangio Exploration's current price.

Pelangio Exploration Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pelangio Exploration pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pelangio Exploration shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pelangio Exploration pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pelangio Exploration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pelangio Exploration Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pelangio Exploration's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pelangio Exploration's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pelangio pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Pelangio Pink Sheet

Pelangio Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pelangio Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pelangio with respect to the benefits of owning Pelangio Exploration security.