Patriot Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
Patriot Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Patriot Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Patriot Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Patriot Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Patriot Energy's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Patriot Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Patriot Energy from the perspective of Patriot Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Patriot Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Patriot Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Patriot Energy to cross-verify your projections. Patriot Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Patriot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Patriot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Patriot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Patriot Energy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Patriot Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Patriot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Patriot Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Patriot Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Patriot Energy | Patriot Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Patriot Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Patriot Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Patriot Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Patriot Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Patriot Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Patriot Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Patriot Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Patriot Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Patriot Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Patriot Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Patriot Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Patriot Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Patriot Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|
Patriot Energy Hype Timeline
Patriot Energy is at this time traded for 0.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Patriot is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Patriot Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Patriot Energy had 1:1000 split on the 20th of November 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Patriot Energy to cross-verify your projections.Patriot Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Patriot Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Patriot Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Patriot Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Patriot Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLORF | Montello Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WNWG | Wentworth Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SPRN | Supernova Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WCYN | West Canyon Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBMDF | CBM Asia Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRXO | Columbine Valley Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XBOR | Cross Border Res | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRCOQ | Beard Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FRGY | Frontier Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMNE | American Green Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Patriot Energy
For every potential investor in Patriot, whether a beginner or expert, Patriot Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Patriot Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Patriot. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Patriot Energy's price trends.Patriot Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Patriot Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Patriot Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Patriot Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Story Coverage note for Patriot Energy
The number of cover stories for Patriot Energy depends on current market conditions and Patriot Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Patriot Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Patriot Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Patriot Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Patriot Stock refer to our How to Trade Patriot Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Will Pollution & Treatment Controls sector continue expanding? Could Patriot diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Patriot Energy. Anticipated expansion of Patriot directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Patriot Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Patriot Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Patriot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Patriot Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Patriot Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Patriot Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Patriot Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Patriot Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Patriot Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Patriot Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.