Koninklijke Philips Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PHG Stock | USD 29.57 0.14 0.48% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Koninklijke Philips NV on the next trading day is expected to be 29.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.92. Koninklijke Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Koninklijke Philips' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Koninklijke Philips' stock price is roughly 65 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 9th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Koninklijke, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4384 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6057 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.78 | Wall Street Target Price 32.52 |
Using Koninklijke Philips hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Koninklijke Philips NV from the perspective of Koninklijke Philips response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Koninklijke Philips using Koninklijke Philips' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Koninklijke using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Koninklijke Philips' stock price.
Koninklijke Philips Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Koninklijke Philips' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Koninklijke. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Koninklijke Philips stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.0446 | Short Percent 0.0012 | Short Ratio 3.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 27.5588 |
Koninklijke Philips Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Koninklijke Philips' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Koninklijke. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Koninklijke can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Koninklijke Philips NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Koninklijke Philips' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Koninklijke Philips.
Koninklijke Philips Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Koninklijke Philips' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Koninklijke Philips NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Koninklijke Philips' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Koninklijke Philips stock will not fluctuate a lot when Koninklijke Philips' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Koninklijke Philips NV on the next trading day is expected to be 29.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.92. Koninklijke Philips after-hype prediction price | USD 29.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Koninklijke | Build AI portfolio with Koninklijke Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Koninklijke Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Koninklijke Philips' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Koninklijke Philips' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Koninklijke Philips stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Koninklijke Philips' open interest, investors have to compare it to Koninklijke Philips' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Koninklijke Philips is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Koninklijke. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Koninklijke Philips Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Koninklijke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Koninklijke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Koninklijke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Koninklijke Philips Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Koninklijke Philips NV on the next trading day is expected to be 29.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Koninklijke Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Koninklijke Philips' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Koninklijke Philips Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Koninklijke Philips | Koninklijke Philips Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Koninklijke Philips Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Koninklijke Philips' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Koninklijke Philips' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.98 and 31.16, respectively. We have considered Koninklijke Philips' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Koninklijke Philips stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Koninklijke Philips stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6687 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0403 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3153 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.92 |
Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Philips
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Philips. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Koninklijke Philips
For every potential investor in Koninklijke, whether a beginner or expert, Koninklijke Philips' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Koninklijke Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Koninklijke. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Koninklijke Philips' price trends.Koninklijke Philips Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Koninklijke Philips stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Koninklijke Philips could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Koninklijke Philips by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Koninklijke Philips Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Koninklijke Philips' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Koninklijke Philips' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Koninklijke Philips Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Koninklijke Philips stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Koninklijke Philips shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Koninklijke Philips stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Koninklijke Philips NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Koninklijke Philips Risk Indicators
The analysis of Koninklijke Philips' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Koninklijke Philips' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting koninklijke stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Koninklijke Philips is a strong investment it is important to analyze Koninklijke Philips' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Koninklijke Philips' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Koninklijke Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Koninklijke Philips to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Koninklijke Philips. If investors know Koninklijke will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Koninklijke Philips listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 0.85 | Earnings Share 0.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Koninklijke Philips is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Koninklijke that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Koninklijke Philips' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Koninklijke Philips' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Koninklijke Philips' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Koninklijke Philips' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke Philips' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Koninklijke Philips is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke Philips' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.