Park Ha Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PHH Stock   5.64  0.14  2.55%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Park Ha Biological on the next trading day is expected to be 5.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.89. Park Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Park Ha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Park Ha's Payables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Park Ha's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.25, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.57. . The Park Ha's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 41.2 M, while Net Loss is forecasted to increase to (185.5 M).
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Park Ha price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Park Ha Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Park Ha Biological on the next trading day is expected to be 5.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Park Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Park Ha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Park Ha Stock Forecast Pattern

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Park Ha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Park Ha's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Park Ha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 16.17, respectively. We have considered Park Ha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.64
5.88
Expected Value
16.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Park Ha stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Park Ha stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria57.606
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3409
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.064
SAESum of the absolute errors9.887
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Park Ha Biological historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Park Ha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Park Ha Biological. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.285.6415.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.234.5614.85
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.6515.0016.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Park Ha. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Park Ha's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Park Ha's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Park Ha Biological.

Other Forecasting Options for Park Ha

For every potential investor in Park, whether a beginner or expert, Park Ha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Park Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Park. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Park Ha's price trends.

Park Ha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Park Ha stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Park Ha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Park Ha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Park Ha Biological Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Park Ha's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Park Ha's current price.

Park Ha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Park Ha stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Park Ha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Park Ha stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Park Ha Biological entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Park Ha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Park Ha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Park Ha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting park stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Park Ha Biological offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Park Ha's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Park Ha Biological Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Park Ha Biological Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park Ha to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Thrifts & Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park Ha. If investors know Park will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park Ha listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Earnings Share
0.02
Revenue Per Share
0.078
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.38)
The market value of Park Ha Biological is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park Ha's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park Ha's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park Ha's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park Ha's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park Ha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Park Ha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park Ha's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.