Poly Property Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PHKIF Stock  USD 0.28  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Poly Property Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20. Poly Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Poly Property's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Poly Property is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Poly Property Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Poly Property Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Poly Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Poly Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Poly Property Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Poly Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Poly Property's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Poly Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.23, respectively. We have considered Poly Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.28
0.28
Expected Value
7.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Poly Property pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Poly Property pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.8676
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0028
MADMean absolute deviation0.0033
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors0.195
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Poly Property Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Poly Property. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Poly Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Poly Property Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.287.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.237.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Poly Property

For every potential investor in Poly, whether a beginner or expert, Poly Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Poly Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Poly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Poly Property's price trends.

Poly Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Poly Property pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Poly Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Poly Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Poly Property Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Poly Property's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Poly Property's current price.

Poly Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Poly Property pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Poly Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Poly Property pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Poly Property Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Poly Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Poly Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Poly Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting poly pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Poly Pink Sheet

Poly Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Poly Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Poly with respect to the benefits of owning Poly Property security.