Pharmacom Biovet Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PHMB Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pharmacom Biovet on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Pharmacom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pharmacom Biovet stock prices and determine the direction of Pharmacom Biovet's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pharmacom Biovet's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Pharmacom Biovet's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 74.3 K, whereas Retained Earnings are forecasted to decline to (18 M).
A naive forecasting model for Pharmacom Biovet is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Pharmacom Biovet value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Pharmacom Biovet Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pharmacom Biovet on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pharmacom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pharmacom Biovet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pharmacom Biovet Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pharmacom BiovetPharmacom Biovet Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pharmacom Biovet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pharmacom Biovet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pharmacom Biovet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Pharmacom Biovet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pharmacom Biovet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pharmacom Biovet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Pharmacom Biovet. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Pharmacom Biovet. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Pharmacom Biovet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pharmacom Biovet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pharmacom Biovet

For every potential investor in Pharmacom, whether a beginner or expert, Pharmacom Biovet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pharmacom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pharmacom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pharmacom Biovet's price trends.

Pharmacom Biovet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pharmacom Biovet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pharmacom Biovet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pharmacom Biovet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pharmacom Biovet Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pharmacom Biovet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pharmacom Biovet's current price.

Pharmacom Biovet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pharmacom Biovet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pharmacom Biovet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pharmacom Biovet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pharmacom Biovet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Pharmacom Biovet offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Pharmacom Biovet's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pharmacom Biovet Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pharmacom Biovet Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pharmacom Biovet to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Pharmacom Stock refer to our How to Trade Pharmacom Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pharmacom Biovet. If investors know Pharmacom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pharmacom Biovet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Pharmacom Biovet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pharmacom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pharmacom Biovet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pharmacom Biovet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pharmacom Biovet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pharmacom Biovet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pharmacom Biovet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pharmacom Biovet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pharmacom Biovet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.