PLDT Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

PHTCF Stock  USD 20.52  0.00  0.00%   
PLDT Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of PLDT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of PLDT's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PLDT's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PLDT and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PLDT's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PLDT Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PLDT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PLDT Inc from the perspective of PLDT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PLDT Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 20.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

PLDT after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections.

PLDT Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PLDT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PLDT using various technical indicators. When you analyze PLDT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through PLDT price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

PLDT Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PLDT Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 20.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PLDT Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PLDT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PLDT Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest PLDT  PLDT Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

PLDT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PLDT's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PLDT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.52 and 20.52, respectively. We have considered PLDT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.52
20.52
Expected Value
20.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PLDT pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PLDT pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria55.8935
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as PLDT Inc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for PLDT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLDT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PLDT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5220.5220.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.5220.5220.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.5220.5220.52
Details

PLDT After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PLDT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PLDT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of PLDT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PLDT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PLDT's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PLDT's historical news coverage. PLDT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.52 and 20.52, respectively. We have considered PLDT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.52
20.52
After-hype Price
20.52
Upside
PLDT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PLDT Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

PLDT Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PLDT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PLDT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PLDT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.52
20.52
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

PLDT Hype Timeline

PLDT Inc is at this time traded for 20.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PLDT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on PLDT is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.52. About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of PLDT was at this time reported as 568.38. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of August 2022. PLDT Inc had 6:5 split on the 3rd of December 1987. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLDT to cross-verify your projections.

PLDT Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PLDT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PLDT's future price movements. Getting to know how PLDT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PLDT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for PLDT

For every potential investor in PLDT, whether a beginner or expert, PLDT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PLDT Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PLDT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PLDT's price trends.

PLDT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PLDT pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PLDT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PLDT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PLDT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PLDT pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PLDT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PLDT pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PLDT Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for PLDT

The number of cover stories for PLDT depends on current market conditions and PLDT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PLDT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PLDT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in PLDT Pink Sheet

PLDT financial ratios help investors to determine whether PLDT Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PLDT with respect to the benefits of owning PLDT security.