Indofood Sukses Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| PIFMY Stock | USD 24.89 1.22 5.15% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Indofood Sukses Makmur on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.41. Indofood Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Indofood |
Indofood Sukses 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Indofood Sukses Makmur on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indofood Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indofood Sukses' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Indofood Sukses Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Indofood Sukses | Indofood Sukses Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Indofood Sukses Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Indofood Sukses' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indofood Sukses' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.70 and 27.31, respectively. We have considered Indofood Sukses' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indofood Sukses pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indofood Sukses pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 81.4202 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0539 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8637 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0363 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.4125 |
Predictive Modules for Indofood Sukses
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indofood Sukses Makmur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Indofood Sukses
For every potential investor in Indofood, whether a beginner or expert, Indofood Sukses' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indofood Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indofood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indofood Sukses' price trends.Indofood Sukses Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indofood Sukses pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indofood Sukses could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indofood Sukses by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Indofood Sukses Makmur Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Indofood Sukses' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Indofood Sukses' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Indofood Sukses Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indofood Sukses pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indofood Sukses shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indofood Sukses pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Indofood Sukses Makmur entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.61 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.22 |
Indofood Sukses Risk Indicators
The analysis of Indofood Sukses' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indofood Sukses' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indofood pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.46 | |||
| Variance | 11.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Indofood Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Indofood Sukses' price analysis, check to measure Indofood Sukses' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indofood Sukses is operating at the current time. Most of Indofood Sukses' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indofood Sukses' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indofood Sukses' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indofood Sukses to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.