Alpineome Property Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PINE Stock  USD 18.00  0.11  0.61%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Alpineome Property Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.89. Alpineome Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alpineome Property stock prices and determine the direction of Alpineome Property Trust's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alpineome Property's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Alpineome Property's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.08, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to (1.78). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 35.9 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 11.9 M.
Alpineome Property polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Alpineome Property Trust as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Alpineome Property Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Alpineome Property Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alpineome Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alpineome Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alpineome Property Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alpineome PropertyAlpineome Property Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alpineome Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alpineome Property's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alpineome Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.46 and 19.13, respectively. We have considered Alpineome Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.00
17.80
Expected Value
19.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alpineome Property stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alpineome Property stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4514
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2113
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0118
SAESum of the absolute errors12.8884
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Alpineome Property historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Alpineome Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpineome Property Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6618.0019.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3318.6720.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.8617.9618.07
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.6019.3421.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alpineome Property

For every potential investor in Alpineome, whether a beginner or expert, Alpineome Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alpineome Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alpineome. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alpineome Property's price trends.

Alpineome Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alpineome Property stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alpineome Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alpineome Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alpineome Property Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alpineome Property's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alpineome Property's current price.

Alpineome Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alpineome Property stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alpineome Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alpineome Property stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alpineome Property Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alpineome Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alpineome Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alpineome Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alpineome stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Alpineome Property Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alpineome Property's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alpineome Property's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alpineome Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alpineome Property to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alpineome Property. If investors know Alpineome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alpineome Property listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.757
Dividend Share
1.105
Earnings Share
0.23
Revenue Per Share
3.658
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.166
The market value of Alpineome Property Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alpineome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alpineome Property's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alpineome Property's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alpineome Property's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alpineome Property's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpineome Property's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alpineome Property is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpineome Property's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.