Park Hotels Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PK Stock | USD 10.90 0.17 1.58% |
Park Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Park Hotels' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Park Hotels' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Park Hotels fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Park Hotels' share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Park Hotels, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1167 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.775 | Wall Street Target Price 12.3 |
Using Park Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park Hotels Resorts from the perspective of Park Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park Hotels using Park Hotels' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park Hotels' stock price.
Park Hotels Short Interest
An investor who is long Park Hotels may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Park Hotels and may potentially protect profits, hedge Park Hotels with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.7888 | Short Percent 0.2514 | Short Ratio 9.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 34.5 M | 50 Day MA 10.82 |
Park Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Park Hotels Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 10.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.62.Park Hotels Resorts Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Park Hotels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Park. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Park can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Park Hotels Resorts. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Park Hotels' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Park Hotels.
Park Hotels Implied Volatility | 1.0 |
Park Hotels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park Hotels Resorts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park Hotels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park Hotels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park Hotels' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Park Hotels Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 10.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.62. Park Hotels after-hype prediction price | USD 10.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park Hotels to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Park contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Park Hotels Resorts will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Park Hotels trading at USD 10.9, that is roughly USD 0.006813 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Park Hotels' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Park Hotels Resorts options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Park Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Park Hotels' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Park Hotels' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Park Hotels stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Park Hotels' open interest, investors have to compare it to Park Hotels' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Park Hotels is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Park. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Park Hotels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Park price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Park Hotels Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Park Hotels Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 10.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Park Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Park Hotels' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Park Hotels Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Park Hotels | Park Hotels Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Park Hotels Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Park Hotels' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Park Hotels' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.83 and 12.97, respectively. We have considered Park Hotels' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Park Hotels stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Park Hotels stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.2896 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0224 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1771 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.625 |
Predictive Modules for Park Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Park Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Park Hotels After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Park Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Park Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Park Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park Hotels' historical news coverage. Park Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.85 and 12.95, respectively. We have considered Park Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Park Hotels is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park Hotels Resorts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Park Hotels Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Park Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.07 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.90 | 10.90 | 0.00 |
|
Park Hotels Hype Timeline
As of January 30, 2026 Park Hotels Resorts is listed for 10.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Park is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Park Hotels is about 1634.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.92. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Park Hotels Resorts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.64. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park Hotels to cross-verify your projections.Park Hotels Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Park Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Park Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 0.24 | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0.01 | 4.19 | (2.47) | 11.55 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.25 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.84 | (3.72) | 11.15 | |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.81 | (3.19) | 8.13 | |
| APLE | Apple Hospitality REIT | 0.1 | 24 per month | 1.20 | (0.01) | 2.73 | (1.99) | 7.06 | |
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | 0.01 | 12 per month | 1.23 | 0.12 | 3.33 | (2.49) | 11.87 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | 0.13 | 3 per month | 0.94 | (0.04) | 1.79 | (1.28) | 4.65 | |
| DEI | Douglas Emmett | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.57 | (2.88) | 7.06 | |
| NSA | National Storage Affiliates | 0.46 | 12 per month | 1.67 | (0) | 2.75 | (2.48) | 8.34 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.39 | (4.81) | 14.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Park Hotels
For every potential investor in Park, whether a beginner or expert, Park Hotels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Park Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Park. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Park Hotels' price trends.Park Hotels Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Park Hotels stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Park Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Park Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Park Hotels Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Park Hotels stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Park Hotels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Park Hotels stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Park Hotels Resorts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Park Hotels Risk Indicators
The analysis of Park Hotels' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Park Hotels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting park stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Park Hotels
The number of cover stories for Park Hotels depends on current market conditions and Park Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Park Hotels Short Properties
Park Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Park Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park Hotels Resorts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 209 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 402 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Park Hotels to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Hotel & Resort REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park Hotels. Anticipated expansion of Park directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Park Hotels assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share (0.08) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Investors evaluate Park Hotels Resorts using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Park Hotels' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Park Hotels' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Park Hotels' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Park Hotels should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Park Hotels' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.